ADT
ADT Inc.
ADT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co
VRT has the edge over ADT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
ADT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
ADT's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
VRT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
ADT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.9x | $7.25 | -27% |
| Forward | 10x | $9.89 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $8.67 | -12% |
| Expensive | 14x | $10.49 | +6.1% |
| Current | 14x | $9.89 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ADT's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
VRT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 23x | $210 | — |
| Current | 39x | $210 | — |
| Cheap | 58x | $308 | +47% |
| Fair | 72x | $383 | +83% |
| Expensive | 88x | $472 | +125% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VRT has the edge over ADT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ADT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ADT's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
VRT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
VRT has the edge over ADT on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
ADT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.95 | +31% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.73 | +5.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.70 | +6.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.69 | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.65 | +25% |
| Q1 2023 | $0.03 | +$0.32 |
| Q4 2022 | $0.18 | +$0.59 |
| Q3 2022 | -$0.04 | +$0.44 |
| Q2 2022 | -$0.04 | +$0.46 |
ADT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.73 over the past year, up 5.8% from the year before, and higher year over year for 17 quarters in a row.
VRT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.14 | +71% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.35 | +102% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.98 | +131% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.41 | +166% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.65 | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.09 | +62% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.72 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.28 | +7.6% |
VRT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.35 over the past year, up 102% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2021.
ADT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | +3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +1.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +1.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +4.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B | +6.5% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.2B | +5.4% |
ADT's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $1.3B last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | -2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 25% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 26% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | -2.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 27% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 25% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 25% | N/A |
ADT has the edge over VRT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
VRT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +26% |
VRT has the edge over ADT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +4.2 points |
VRT's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 3.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
ADT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $394.7M | -9.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $620.3M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $589M | +87% |
| Q4 2025 | $235.5M | -24% |
| Q3 2025 | $437M | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $526M | +41% |
| Q1 2025 | $315.7M | +73% |
| Q3 2024 | $333M | +36% |
ADT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $1.8B over the past year, up 16% from the year before.
VRT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $654.9M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $926.5M | +233% |
| Q1 2026 | $654.2M | +145% |
| Q4 2025 | $885.6M | +143% |
| Q3 2025 | $463.5M | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $277.9M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $266.8M | +162% |
| Q4 2024 | $364.5M | +18% |
VRT has the edge over ADT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ADT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -8% | -63.5M shares |
| 1 year | -17% | -153M shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -179M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -86.9M shares |
| Available history | -2.2% | -16.7M shares |
ADT has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $23.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $484M |
| Q1 2026 | $116M |
| Q4 2025 | $233,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $111.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $98.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $396.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $147.6M |
ADT spent $624M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 17% from the year before.
VRT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -64.9K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +4.4M shares |
| 5 years | +10% | +36M shares |
| Available history | +63% | +152M shares |
VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | $599.9M |
ADT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.8x | Moderate |
ADT's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
VRT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
VRT has the edge over ADT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ADT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 74.5 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 96.8 | Overbought |
ADT's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 97 (overbought).
VRT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.4 | Neutral |
VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
ADT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | ADT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 24x | 44% below |
| PE % | 75 | 58 | 17 pts above |
ADT has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.
VRT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | VRT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 24x | 63% above |
| PE % | 3 | 58 | 55 pts below |
VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
ADT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.81 | 27% above |
| 20 week MA | $7.46 | 33% above |
| 50 week MA | $7.39 | 34% above |
| 100 week MA | $7.75 | 28% above |
| 200 week MA | $7.30 | 35% above |
ADT has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
VRT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.8 | 5.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $254.4 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $253.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $189.1 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $123.5 | 70% above |
VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.
ADT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.78 | $8.10 | +4.1% |
| 2021 | $8.10 | $8.56 | +5.7% |
| 2022 | $8.56 | $9.16 | +7% |
| 2023 | $9.16 | $6.82 | -26% |
| 2024 | $6.82 | $6.97 | +2.2% |
| 2025 | $6.97 | $8.14 | +17% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.14 | $9.89 | +21% |
ADT has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 21% so far in 2026.
VRT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.9 | $18.9 | +73% |
| 2021 | $18.9 | $24.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $12.8 | -48% |
| 2023 | $12.8 | $48.0 | +275% |
| 2024 | $48.0 | $115.1 | +140% |
| 2025 | $115.1 | $167.6 | +46% |
| 2026 YTD | $167.6 | $209.6 | +25% |
VRT has the edge over ADT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.