ADT
ADT Inc.
ADT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
BA
The Boeing Company
BA has a slight edge over ADT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
ADT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
ADT's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
BA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
ADT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.9x | $7.25 | -27% |
| Forward | 10x | $9.89 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $8.67 | -12% |
| Expensive | 14x | $10.49 | +6.1% |
| Current | 14x | $9.89 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ADT's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
BA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $172 | — |
| Cheap | 51x | $496 | +189% |
| Fair | 82x | $790 | +360% |
| Expensive | 91x | $876 | +411% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BA has the edge over ADT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ADT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ADT's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
BA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BA has the edge over ADT on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
ADT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.95 | +31% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.73 | +5.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.70 | +6.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.69 | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.65 | +25% |
| Q1 2023 | $0.03 | +$0.32 |
| Q4 2022 | $0.18 | +$0.59 |
| Q3 2022 | -$0.04 | +$0.44 |
| Q2 2022 | -$0.04 | +$0.46 |
ADT has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.66 | +$23.38 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.78 | +$19.33 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.53 | +$20.49 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.48 | +$20.84 |
| Q3 2025 | -$13.72 | -$0.83 |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.55 | -$10.93 |
| Q1 2025 | -$17.96 | -$14.42 |
| Q4 2024 | -$18.36 | -$14.69 |
BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
ADT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | +3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +1.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +1.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +4.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B | +6.5% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.2B | +5.4% |
ADT's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $1.3B last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | -2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 25% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 26% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | -2.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 27% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 25% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 25% | N/A |
ADT has the edge over BA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.2B | +3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.6B | +8% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.9B | +57% |
| Q3 2025 | $23.3B | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.7B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.5B | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.2B | -31% |
BA has the edge over ADT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.5% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | +61 points |
| Q3 2025 | -21% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8% | +5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.4% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | -26 points |
BA's operating margin was 1.5% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ADT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $394.7M | -9.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $620.3M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $589M | +87% |
| Q4 2025 | $235.5M | -24% |
| Q3 2025 | $437M | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $526M | +41% |
| Q1 2025 | $315.7M | +73% |
| Q3 2024 | $333M | +36% |
ADT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $1.8B over the past year, up 16% from the year before.
BA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $464M | +95% |
| Q2 2026 | $631M | +$831M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.5B | +$836M |
| Q4 2025 | $375M | +$4.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $238M | +$2.2B |
| Q2 2025 | -$200M | +$4.1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.3B | +$1.6B |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.1B | -239% |
BA has the edge over ADT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ADT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -8% | -63.5M shares |
| 1 year | -17% | -153M shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -179M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -86.9M shares |
| Available history | -2.2% | -16.7M shares |
ADT has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $23.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $484M |
| Q1 2026 | $116M |
| Q4 2025 | $233,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $111.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $98.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $396.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $147.6M |
ADT spent $624M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 17% from the year before.
BA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +2.1M shares |
| 1 year | +4.3% | +32.8M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +35% | +204M shares |
| Available history | +40% | +227M shares |
BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
ADT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.8x | Moderate |
ADT has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 6.9x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 361.8x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 36.1x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 36.4x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 96.1x | High |
BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
ADT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 74.5 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 96.8 | Overbought |
ADT's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 97 (overbought).
BA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 31.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.6 | Oversold |
BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
ADT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | ADT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 24x | 44% below |
| PE % | 75 | 58 | 17 pts above |
ADT has the edge over BA on valuation relative to its sector.
BA PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | BA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 24x | 26% below |
| PE % | 0 | 58 | 58 pts below |
BA is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.
ADT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.81 | 27% above |
| 20 week MA | $7.46 | 33% above |
| 50 week MA | $7.39 | 34% above |
| 100 week MA | $7.75 | 28% above |
| 200 week MA | $7.30 | 35% above |
ADT has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $184.6 | 7.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $203.8 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $215.5 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $205.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $200.6 | 14% below |
BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.
ADT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.78 | $8.10 | +4.1% |
| 2021 | $8.10 | $8.56 | +5.7% |
| 2022 | $8.56 | $9.16 | +7% |
| 2023 | $9.16 | $6.82 | -26% |
| 2024 | $6.82 | $6.97 | +2.2% |
| 2025 | $6.97 | $8.14 | +17% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.14 | $9.89 | +21% |
ADT has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
BA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $330.1 | $217.2 | -34% |
| 2021 | $217.2 | $204.2 | -6% |
| 2022 | $204.2 | $189.1 | -7.4% |
| 2023 | $189.1 | $260.7 | +38% |
| 2024 | $260.7 | $180.7 | -31% |
| 2025 | $180.7 | $216.4 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $216.4 | $171.6 | -21% |
BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.