ADEA
Adeia Inc.
ADEA offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC has the edge over ADEA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
ADEA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
ADEA's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
ADEA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $10.97 | -34% |
| Forward | 13x | $16.63 | — |
| Current | 16x | $16.63 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $23.29 | +40% |
| Expensive | 31x | $31.44 | +89% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ADEA's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13x.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ADEA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Decline | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ADEA's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
INTC has the edge over ADEA on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
ADEA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.32 | +28% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.03 | +58% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.09 | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | +65% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.99 | +74% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.65 | +76% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.74 | +80% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.66 | +89% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.57 | -5% |
ADEA has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
ADEA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $80.2M | -8.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $96.1M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $104.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $182.6M | +53% |
| Q3 2025 | $87.3M | +1.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $85.7M | -1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $87.7M | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $119.2M | +37% |
ADEA has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | -20 points |
| Q2 2026 | 26% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 33% | +7.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 60% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | 31% | -1.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | -7.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 26% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 48% | +22 points |
ADEA's operating margin was 11% last quarter, down 20 points from the same quarter a year ago.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC has the edge over ADEA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ADEA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4M | -76% |
| Q2 2026 | $54.1M | +136% |
| Q1 2026 | $58.1M | +2% |
| Q4 2025 | $59.4M | -44% |
| Q3 2025 | $17M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.9M | -0.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $56.9M | -14% |
| Q4 2024 | $106.9M | +185% |
ADEA's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $176M over the past year, down 14% from the year before.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC has the edge over ADEA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ADEA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -144K shares |
| 1 year | +1.3% | +1.4M shares |
| 3 years | +1.2% | +1.3M shares |
| 5 years | -71% | -282M shares |
| Available history | +128% | +64.1M shares |
ADEA has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $10M |
| Q1 2026 | $10M |
| Q4 2025 | $10M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
ADEA spent $30M buying back its own shares over the past year.
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
ADEA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 2.0x | Healthy |
ADEA has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.
ADEA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.9 | Oversold |
ADEA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
ADEA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ADEA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 28x | 42% below |
| PE % | 20 | 35 | 15 pts below |
ADEA is trading at 16x earnings, a 42% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ADEA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $21.3 | 22% below |
| 20 week MA | $24.7 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $23.8 | 30% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $14.8 | 12% above |
ADEA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 12% above its 200-week average.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
INTC has the edge over ADEA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ADEA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.86 | $5.50 | +13% |
| 2021 | $5.50 | $5.13 | -6.7% |
| 2022 | $5.13 | $9.48 | +85% |
| 2023 | $9.48 | $12.4 | +31% |
| 2024 | $12.4 | $13.8 | +11% |
| 2025 | $13.8 | $16.9 | +23% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.9 | $16.6 | -1.8% |
ADEA has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 1.8% so far in 2026.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over ADEA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.