ADEA
Adeia Inc.
ADEA's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 22% and its operating margin rose 6 points to 38%, though free cash flow fell 14%. At 16x earnings, it's trading below its usual 23x. Analysts expect earnings to decline, though they disagree widely on how much.
ADEA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
ADEA's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
ADEA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $10.97 | -34% |
| Forward | 13x | $16.63 | — |
| Current | 16x | $16.63 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $23.29 | +40% |
| Expensive | 31x | $31.44 | +89% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ADEA's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13x.
ADEA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Decline | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ADEA's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ADEA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.32 | +28% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.03 | +58% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.09 | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | +65% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.99 | +74% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.65 | +76% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.74 | +80% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.66 | +89% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.57 | -5% |
ADEA earned $1.03 per share over the past year, up 58% from the year before.
ADEA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $80.2M | -8.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $96.1M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $104.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $182.6M | +53% |
| Q3 2025 | $87.3M | +1.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $85.7M | -1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $87.7M | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $119.2M | +37% |
ADEA's revenue is growing: $80M last quarter, down 8.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | -20 points |
| Q2 2026 | 26% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 33% | +7.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 60% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | 31% | -1.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | -7.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 26% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 48% | +22 points |
ADEA's operating margin was 11% last quarter, down 20 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ADEA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4M | -76% |
| Q2 2026 | $54.1M | +136% |
| Q1 2026 | $58.1M | +2% |
| Q4 2025 | $59.4M | -44% |
| Q3 2025 | $17M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.9M | -0.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $56.9M | -14% |
| Q4 2024 | $106.9M | +185% |
ADEA's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $176M over the past year, down 14% from the year before.
ADEA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -144K shares |
| 1 year | +1.3% | +1.4M shares |
| 3 years | +1.2% | +1.3M shares |
| 5 years | -71% | -282M shares |
| Available history | +128% | +64.1M shares |
ADEA has 114M diluted shares, up 1.3% from a year ago, despite $30M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $10M |
| Q1 2026 | $10M |
| Q4 2025 | $10M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
ADEA spent $30M buying back its own shares over the past year.
ADEA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 2.0x | Healthy |
ADEA's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.
ADEA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.9 | Oversold |
ADEA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).
ADEA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ADEA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 28x | 42% below |
| PE % | 20 | 35 | 15 pts below |
ADEA is trading at 16x earnings, a 42% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ADEA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $21.3 | 22% below |
| 20 week MA | $24.7 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $23.8 | 30% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $14.8 | 12% above |
ADEA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 12% above its 200-week average.
ADEA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.86 | $5.50 | +13% |
| 2021 | $5.50 | $5.13 | -6.7% |
| 2022 | $5.13 | $9.48 | +85% |
| 2023 | $9.48 | $12.4 | +31% |
| 2024 | $12.4 | $13.8 | +11% |
| 2025 | $13.8 | $16.9 | +23% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.9 | $16.6 | -1.8% |
ADEA has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 1.8% so far in 2026.