ACLS

Axcelis Technologies, Inc.

58
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

ACLS has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ACLS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Stable
Strong

ACLS's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability and cash flow are stable.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ACLS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x61x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x61x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$48.20-55%
Forward18x$108—
Fair22x$73.95-32%
Current32x$108—
Expensive34x$113+4.9%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACLS's PE is in its expensive range at 32x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ACLS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ACLS, with profitability improving.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ACLS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$184.04
Downside-21%$85.25

Calculated from the latest close: $108.06 on Nov 12.

ACLS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails ACLS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ACLS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.43Q1 2024: $7.57Q2 2024: $7.26Q3 2024: $6.76Q4 2024: $6.15Q1 2025: $5.46Q2 2025: $4.89Q3 2025: $4.23Q4 2025: $3.80Q1 2026: $3.22Q2 2026: $2.99Q3 2026: $3.37Forward: $6.05
Q4 2023: $7.43Q1 2024: $7.57Q2 2024: $7.26Q3 2024: $6.76Q4 2024: $6.15Q1 2025: $5.46Q2 2025: $4.89Q3 2025: $4.23Q4 2025: $3.80Q1 2026: $3.22Q2 2026: $2.99Q3 2026: $3.37Forward: $6.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.05+80%
Q3 2026$3.37-20%
Q2 2026$2.99-39%
Q1 2026$3.22-41%
Q4 2025$3.80-38%
Q3 2025$4.23-37%
Q2 2025$4.89-33%
Q1 2025$5.46-28%
Q4 2024$6.15-17%

ACLS has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

ACLS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $310MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $257MQ3 2024: $257MQ4 2024: $252MQ1 2025: $193MQ2 2025: $195MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $238MQ1 2026: $199MQ2 2026: $215MQ3 2026: $238M
Q4 2023: $310MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $257MQ3 2024: $257MQ4 2024: $252MQ1 2025: $193MQ2 2025: $195MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $238MQ1 2026: $199MQ2 2026: $215MQ3 2026: $238M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$237.8M+11%
Q2 2026$215.2M+11%
Q1 2026$199M+3.3%
Q4 2025$238.3M-5.6%
Q3 2025$213.6M-17%
Q2 2025$194.5M-24%
Q1 2025$192.6M-24%
Q4 2024$252.4M-19%

ACLS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $238M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over ACLS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ACLS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$37.7M-13%
Q2 2026$14.8M-61%
Q1 2026$16.3M-53%
Q4 2025-$8.9M-210%
Q3 2025$43.3M+3.6%
Q2 2025$37.7M-0.8%
Q1 2025$34.8M-14%
Q4 2024$8.1M-85%

ACLS has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

ACLS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-29K shares
1 year-1.1%-345K shares
3 years-6.2%-2.1M shares
5 years-8.8%-3M shares
Available history-8%-2.7M shares

ACLS has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

ACLS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.2xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.7x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.2xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.6xNet Cash

ACLS has more cash than debt.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ACLS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic23.9Neutral

ACLS's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ACLS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricACLSSector medianRelative
PE32x28x15% above
PE %823547 pts above

ACLS is trading at 32x earnings, a 15% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ACLS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.06.8% below
20 week MA$123.913% below
50 week MA$117.78.2% below
100 week MA$93.615% above
200 week MA$110.62.3% below

ACLS's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 2.3% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

ACLS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.2$29.2+21%
2021$29.2$68.1+133%
2022$68.1$80.3+18%
2023$80.3$129.7+62%
2024$129.7$71.2-45%
2025$71.2$82.6+16%
2026 YTD$82.6$108.1+31%

ACLS has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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