ACLS

Axcelis Technologies, Inc.

58
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

ACLS's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 32x earnings, above its usual 22x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

ACLS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Stable
Strong

ACLS's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability and cash flow are stable.

ACLS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x61x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x61x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$48.20-55%
Forward18x$108—
Fair22x$73.95-32%
Current32x$108—
Expensive34x$113+4.9%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACLS's PE is in its expensive range at 32x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ACLS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ACLS, with profitability improving.

ACLS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$184.04
Downside-21%$85.25

Calculated from the latest close: $108.06 on Nov 12.

ACLS's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +70% against −21%.

ACLS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.43Q1 2024: $7.57Q2 2024: $7.26Q3 2024: $6.76Q4 2024: $6.15Q1 2025: $5.46Q2 2025: $4.89Q3 2025: $4.23Q4 2025: $3.80Q1 2026: $3.22Q2 2026: $2.99Q3 2026: $3.37Forward: $6.05
Q4 2023: $7.43Q1 2024: $7.57Q2 2024: $7.26Q3 2024: $6.76Q4 2024: $6.15Q1 2025: $5.46Q2 2025: $4.89Q3 2025: $4.23Q4 2025: $3.80Q1 2026: $3.22Q2 2026: $2.99Q3 2026: $3.37Forward: $6.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.05+80%
Q3 2026$3.37-20%
Q2 2026$2.99-39%
Q1 2026$3.22-41%
Q4 2025$3.80-38%
Q3 2025$4.23-37%
Q2 2025$4.89-33%
Q1 2025$5.46-28%
Q4 2024$6.15-17%

ACLS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.37 over the past year, against $7.57 in early 2024.

ACLS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $310MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $257MQ3 2024: $257MQ4 2024: $252MQ1 2025: $193MQ2 2025: $195MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $238MQ1 2026: $199MQ2 2026: $215MQ3 2026: $238M
Q4 2023: $310MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $257MQ3 2024: $257MQ4 2024: $252MQ1 2025: $193MQ2 2025: $195MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $238MQ1 2026: $199MQ2 2026: $215MQ3 2026: $238M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$237.8M+11%
Q2 2026$215.2M+11%
Q1 2026$199M+3.3%
Q4 2025$238.3M-5.6%
Q3 2025$213.6M-17%
Q2 2025$194.5M-24%
Q1 2025$192.6M-24%
Q4 2024$252.4M-19%

ACLS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $238M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

ACLS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$37.7M-13%
Q2 2026$14.8M-61%
Q1 2026$16.3M-53%
Q4 2025-$8.9M-210%
Q3 2025$43.3M+3.6%
Q2 2025$37.7M-0.8%
Q1 2025$34.8M-14%
Q4 2024$8.1M-85%

ACLS still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $60M over the past year.

ACLS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-29K shares
1 year-1.1%-345K shares
3 years-6.2%-2.1M shares
5 years-8.8%-3M shares
Available history-8%-2.7M shares

ACLS has 31M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago.

ACLS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.2xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.7x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.2xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.6xNet Cash

ACLS has more cash than debt.

ACLS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic23.9Neutral

ACLS's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

ACLS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricACLSSector medianRelative
PE32x28x15% above
PE %823547 pts above

ACLS is trading at 32x earnings, a 15% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ACLS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.06.8% below
20 week MA$123.913% below
50 week MA$117.78.2% below
100 week MA$93.615% above
200 week MA$110.62.3% below

ACLS's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 2.3% below its 200-week average.

ACLS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.2$29.2+21%
2021$29.2$68.1+133%
2022$68.1$80.3+18%
2023$80.3$129.7+62%
2024$129.7$71.2-45%
2025$71.2$82.6+16%
2026 YTD$82.6$108.1+31%

ACLS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +133% in 2021 to −45% in 2024. It's up 31% so far in 2026.

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