ACEL

Accel Entertainment, Inc.

67
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

ACEL has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

ACEL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

ACEL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ACEL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x66x89x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x66x89x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$12.09-13%
Forward16x$13.83—
Current18x$13.83—
Fair21x$15.87+15%
Expensive28x$20.96+52%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACEL's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ACEL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ACEL, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ACEL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$17.36
Downside-12%$12.17

Calculated from the latest close: $13.83 on Nov 12.

ACEL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails ACEL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ACEL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.51Q2 2024: $0.57Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.41Q1 2025: $0.49Q2 2025: $0.40Q3 2025: $0.50Q4 2025: $0.60Q1 2026: $0.60Q2 2026: $0.67Q3 2026: $0.76Forward: $0.88
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.51Q2 2024: $0.57Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.41Q1 2025: $0.49Q2 2025: $0.40Q3 2025: $0.50Q4 2025: $0.60Q1 2026: $0.60Q2 2026: $0.67Q3 2026: $0.76Forward: $0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.88+16%
Q3 2026$0.76+52%
Q2 2026$0.67+68%
Q1 2026$0.60+22%
Q4 2025$0.60+46%
Q3 2025$0.50-2%
Q2 2025$0.40-30%
Q1 2025$0.49-3.9%
Q4 2024$0.41-23%

ACEL has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

ACEL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: $302MQ2 2024: $309MQ3 2024: $302MQ4 2024: $318MQ1 2025: $324MQ2 2025: $336MQ3 2025: $330MQ4 2025: $341MQ1 2026: $352MQ2 2026: $368MQ3 2026: $364M
Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: $302MQ2 2024: $309MQ3 2024: $302MQ4 2024: $318MQ1 2025: $324MQ2 2025: $336MQ3 2025: $330MQ4 2025: $341MQ1 2026: $352MQ2 2026: $368MQ3 2026: $364M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$363.6M+10%
Q2 2026$368.1M+9.6%
Q1 2026$351.6M+8.5%
Q4 2025$341.4M+7.5%
Q3 2025$329.7M+9.1%
Q2 2025$335.9M+8.6%
Q1 2025$323.9M+7.3%
Q4 2024$317.5M+6.9%

ACEL's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $364M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over ACEL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ACEL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$60.7M+77%
Q2 2026$8.9M+$15.1M
Q1 2026$19.9M+10%
Q4 2025$16M+670%
Q3 2025$34.2M+3.4%
Q2 2025-$6.2M-155%
Q1 2025$18M+122%
Q4 2024$2.1M-89%

ACEL has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

ACEL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 86MQ4 2025: 86MQ1 2026: 84MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 86MQ4 2025: 86MQ1 2026: 84MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-15K shares
1 year-3.1%-2.7M shares
3 years-4.3%-3.7M shares
5 years-12%-11.3M shares
Available history+6.9%+5.4M shares

ACEL has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

ACEL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20252.0xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.3xModerate

ACEL's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.0 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ACEL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.7Neutral
Stochastic74.0Neutral

ACEL's weekly RSI is 70 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

ACEL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricACELSector medianRelative
PE18x18x1% above
PE %274720 pts below

ACEL is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ACEL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.718% above
20 week MA$11.916% above
50 week MA$11.818% above
100 week MA$11.421% above
200 week MA$10.926% above

ACEL has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

ACEL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.3$10.9-12%
2021$10.9$13.2+21%
2022$13.2$7.57-43%
2023$7.57$10.3+36%
2024$10.3$10.6+3.6%
2025$10.6$11.7+10%
2026 YTD$11.7$13.8+18%

ACEL has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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