ACEL
Accel Entertainment, Inc.
ACEL's fundamentals are strong: free cash flow more than doubled and earnings per share grew 52%. At 18x earnings, it's trading below its usual 21x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.
ACEL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
ACEL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ACEL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $12.09 | -13% |
| Forward | 16x | $13.83 | — |
| Current | 18x | $13.83 | — |
| Fair | 21x | $15.87 | +15% |
| Expensive | 28x | $20.96 | +52% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ACEL's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.
ACEL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ACEL, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ACEL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.88 | +16% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.76 | +52% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.67 | +68% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.60 | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.60 | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.50 | -2% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.40 | -30% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.49 | -3.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.41 | -23% |
ACEL earned $0.76 per share over the past year, up 52% from the year before.
ACEL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $363.6M | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $368.1M | +9.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $351.6M | +8.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $341.4M | +7.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $329.7M | +9.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $335.9M | +8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $323.9M | +7.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $317.5M | +6.9% |
ACEL's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $364M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.9% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.7% | +0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.7% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.7% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.7% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8% | +0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.5% | -2 points |
ACEL's operating margin was 7.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
ACEL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $60.7M | +77% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.9M | +$15.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $19.9M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $16M | +670% |
| Q3 2025 | $34.2M | +3.4% |
| Q2 2025 | -$6.2M | -155% |
| Q1 2025 | $18M | +122% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1M | -89% |
ACEL generated $105M in free cash flow over the past year, up 119% from the year before.
ACEL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -15K shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -2.7M shares |
| 3 years | -4.3% | -3.7M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -11.3M shares |
| Available history | +6.9% | +5.4M shares |
ACEL has 83M diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $41M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $5.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $12.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $16.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $6.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $6.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $10.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $4M |
ACEL spent $41M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 48% from the year before.
ACEL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.3x | Moderate |
ACEL's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.0 years a year ago.
ACEL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 69.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.0 | Neutral |
ACEL's weekly RSI is 70 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
ACEL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ACEL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 1% above |
| PE % | 27 | 47 | 20 pts below |
ACEL is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
ACEL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.7 | 18% above |
| 20 week MA | $11.9 | 16% above |
| 50 week MA | $11.8 | 18% above |
| 100 week MA | $11.4 | 21% above |
| 200 week MA | $10.9 | 26% above |
ACEL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% above its 200-week average.
ACEL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $12.3 | $10.9 | -12% |
| 2021 | $10.9 | $13.2 | +21% |
| 2022 | $13.2 | $7.57 | -43% |
| 2023 | $7.57 | $10.3 | +36% |
| 2024 | $10.3 | $10.6 | +3.6% |
| 2025 | $10.6 | $11.7 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.7 | $13.8 | +18% |
ACEL has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 18% so far in 2026.