ACEL

Accel Entertainment, Inc.

67
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

ACEL has the edge over GME overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

GME

GameStop Corp.

49
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

GME offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ACEL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

ACEL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

GME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Unavailable

GME's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ACEL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x66x89x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x66x89x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$12.09-13%
Forward16x$13.83—
Current18x$13.83—
Fair21x$15.87+15%
Expensive28x$20.96+52%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACEL's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

GME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current17x$25.62—
Cheap18x$27.96+9.1%
Forward38x$25.62—
Fair43x$66.84+161%
Expensive252x$388+1414%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GME has the edge over ACEL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ACEL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

ACEL has the edge over GME on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

GME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GME's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

ACEL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$17.36
Downside-12%$12.17

Calculated from the latest close: $13.83 on Nov 12.

ACEL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GME, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$31.72
Downside-51%$12.64

Calculated from the latest close: $25.62 on Nov 12.

GME trails ACEL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ACEL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.51Q2 2024: $0.57Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.41Q1 2025: $0.49Q2 2025: $0.40Q3 2025: $0.50Q4 2025: $0.60Q1 2026: $0.60Q2 2026: $0.67Q3 2026: $0.76Forward: $0.88
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.51Q2 2024: $0.57Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.41Q1 2025: $0.49Q2 2025: $0.40Q3 2025: $0.50Q4 2025: $0.60Q1 2026: $0.60Q2 2026: $0.67Q3 2026: $0.76Forward: $0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.88+16%
Q3 2026$0.76+52%
Q2 2026$0.67+68%
Q1 2026$0.60+22%
Q4 2025$0.60+46%
Q3 2025$0.50-2%
Q2 2025$0.40-30%
Q1 2025$0.49-3.9%
Q4 2024$0.41-23%

ACEL earned $0.76 per share over the past year, up 52% from the year before.

GME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67-56%
Q3 2026$1.54+93%
Q2 2026$1.34+153%
Q1 2026$0.77+133%
Q4 2025$0.89+394%
Q3 2025$0.80+515%
Q2 2025$0.53+563%
Q1 2025$0.33+1550%
Q4 2024$0.18+$0.21

GME has the edge over ACEL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ACEL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: $302MQ2 2024: $309MQ3 2024: $302MQ4 2024: $318MQ1 2025: $324MQ2 2025: $336MQ3 2025: $330MQ4 2025: $341MQ1 2026: $352MQ2 2026: $368MQ3 2026: $364M
Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: $302MQ2 2024: $309MQ3 2024: $302MQ4 2024: $318MQ1 2025: $324MQ2 2025: $336MQ3 2025: $330MQ4 2025: $341MQ1 2026: $352MQ2 2026: $368MQ3 2026: $364M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$363.6M+10%
Q2 2026$368.1M+9.6%
Q1 2026$351.6M+8.5%
Q4 2025$341.4M+7.5%
Q3 2025$329.7M+9.1%
Q2 2025$335.9M+8.6%
Q1 2025$323.9M+7.3%
Q4 2024$317.5M+6.9%

ACEL has the edge over GME on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$790.2M-19%
Q2 2026$835.3M+14%
Q1 2026$1.1B-14%
Q4 2025$821M-4.6%
Q3 2025$972.2M+22%
Q2 2025$732.4M-17%
Q1 2025$1.3B-28%
Q4 2024$860.3M-20%

GME's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $790M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

ACEL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$60.7M+77%
Q2 2026$8.9M+$15.1M
Q1 2026$19.9M+10%
Q4 2025$16M+670%
Q3 2025$34.2M+3.4%
Q2 2025-$6.2M-155%
Q1 2025$18M+122%
Q4 2024$2.1M-89%

ACEL generated $105M in free cash flow over the past year, up 119% from the year before.

GME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$60.7M-46%
Q2 2026$332.9M+76%
Q1 2026$187.4M+18%
Q4 2025$107M+435%
Q3 2025$113.3M+73%
Q2 2025$189.6M+$304.3M
Q1 2025$158.8M+$177.5M
Q4 2024$20M+80%

GME has the edge over ACEL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ACEL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 86MQ4 2025: 86MQ1 2026: 84MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 86MQ4 2025: 86MQ1 2026: 84MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-15K shares
1 year-3.1%-2.7M shares
3 years-4.3%-3.7M shares
5 years-12%-11.3M shares
Available history+6.9%+5.4M shares

ACEL has the edge over GME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+300K shares
1 year+8.4%+46.1M shares
3 years+94%+288M shares
5 years+104%+302M shares
Available history+80%+264M shares

GME has 593M diluted shares, up 8.4% from a year ago.

ACEL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20252.0xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.3xModerate

ACEL's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.0 years a year ago.

GME Net Leverage

ACEL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.7Neutral
Stochastic74.0Neutral

ACEL's weekly RSI is 70 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

GME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic68.5Neutral

GME's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

ACEL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricACELSector medianRelative
PE18x18x1% above
PE %274720 pts below

ACEL is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GME PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGMESector medianRelative
PE17x18x7.7% below
PE %154732 pts below

GME has the edge over ACEL on valuation relative to its sector.

ACEL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.718% above
20 week MA$11.916% above
50 week MA$11.818% above
100 week MA$11.421% above
200 week MA$10.926% above

ACEL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% above its 200-week average.

GME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.21.8% above
20 week MA$22.415% above
50 week MA$22.613% above
100 week MA$24.07% above
200 week MA$21.817% above

GME is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 200-week average.

ACEL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.3$10.9-12%
2021$10.9$13.2+21%
2022$13.2$7.57-43%
2023$7.57$10.3+36%
2024$10.3$10.6+3.6%
2025$10.6$11.7+10%
2026 YTD$11.7$13.8+18%

ACEL has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 18% so far in 2026.

GME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.48$5.04+241%
2021$5.04$38.0+655%
2022$38.0$20.1-47%
2023$20.1$17.5-13%
2024$17.5$32.2+84%
2025$32.2$21.1-35%
2026 YTD$21.1$25.6+21%

GME has the edge over ACEL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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