ACEL
Accel Entertainment, Inc.
ACEL has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
F
Ford Motor Company
F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
ACEL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
ACEL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
ACEL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $12.09 | -13% |
| Forward | 16x | $13.83 | — |
| Current | 18x | $13.83 | — |
| Fair | 21x | $15.87 | +15% |
| Expensive | 28x | $20.96 | +52% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ACEL's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ACEL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
ACEL has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ACEL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.88 | +16% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.76 | +52% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.67 | +68% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.60 | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.60 | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.50 | -2% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.40 | -30% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.49 | -3.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.41 | -23% |
ACEL has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
ACEL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $363.6M | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $368.1M | +9.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $351.6M | +8.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $341.4M | +7.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $329.7M | +9.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $335.9M | +8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $323.9M | +7.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $317.5M | +6.9% |
ACEL has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.9% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.7% | +0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.7% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.7% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.7% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8% | +0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.5% | -2 points |
ACEL has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
ACEL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $60.7M | +77% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.9M | +$15.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $19.9M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $16M | +670% |
| Q3 2025 | $34.2M | +3.4% |
| Q2 2025 | -$6.2M | -155% |
| Q1 2025 | $18M | +122% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1M | -89% |
ACEL has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.
ACEL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -15K shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -2.7M shares |
| 3 years | -4.3% | -3.7M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -11.3M shares |
| Available history | +6.9% | +5.4M shares |
ACEL has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $5.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $12.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $16.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $6.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $6.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $10.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $4M |
ACEL spent $41M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 48% from the year before.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
ACEL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.3x | Moderate |
ACEL's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.0 years a year ago.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over ACEL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ACEL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 69.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.0 | Neutral |
ACEL's weekly RSI is 70 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
ACEL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ACEL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 1% above |
| PE % | 27 | 47 | 20 pts below |
ACEL is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ACEL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.7 | 18% above |
| 20 week MA | $11.9 | 16% above |
| 50 week MA | $11.8 | 18% above |
| 100 week MA | $11.4 | 21% above |
| 200 week MA | $10.9 | 26% above |
ACEL has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
ACEL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $12.3 | $10.9 | -12% |
| 2021 | $10.9 | $13.2 | +21% |
| 2022 | $13.2 | $7.57 | -43% |
| 2023 | $7.57 | $10.3 | +36% |
| 2024 | $10.3 | $10.6 | +3.6% |
| 2025 | $10.6 | $11.7 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.7 | $13.8 | +18% |
ACEL has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.