ACEL

Accel Entertainment, Inc.

67
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

ACEL has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

ACEL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

ACEL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

ACEL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x66x89x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x66x89x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$12.09-13%
Forward16x$13.83—
Current18x$13.83—
Fair21x$15.87+15%
Expensive28x$20.96+52%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACEL has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ACEL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

ACEL has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

ACEL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$17.36
Downside-12%$12.17

Calculated from the latest close: $13.83 on Nov 12.

ACEL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails ACEL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ACEL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.51Q2 2024: $0.57Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.41Q1 2025: $0.49Q2 2025: $0.40Q3 2025: $0.50Q4 2025: $0.60Q1 2026: $0.60Q2 2026: $0.67Q3 2026: $0.76Forward: $0.88
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.51Q2 2024: $0.57Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.41Q1 2025: $0.49Q2 2025: $0.40Q3 2025: $0.50Q4 2025: $0.60Q1 2026: $0.60Q2 2026: $0.67Q3 2026: $0.76Forward: $0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.88+16%
Q3 2026$0.76+52%
Q2 2026$0.67+68%
Q1 2026$0.60+22%
Q4 2025$0.60+46%
Q3 2025$0.50-2%
Q2 2025$0.40-30%
Q1 2025$0.49-3.9%
Q4 2024$0.41-23%

ACEL earned $0.76 per share over the past year, up 52% from the year before.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

ACEL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: $302MQ2 2024: $309MQ3 2024: $302MQ4 2024: $318MQ1 2025: $324MQ2 2025: $336MQ3 2025: $330MQ4 2025: $341MQ1 2026: $352MQ2 2026: $368MQ3 2026: $364M
Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: $302MQ2 2024: $309MQ3 2024: $302MQ4 2024: $318MQ1 2025: $324MQ2 2025: $336MQ3 2025: $330MQ4 2025: $341MQ1 2026: $352MQ2 2026: $368MQ3 2026: $364M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$363.6M+10%
Q2 2026$368.1M+9.6%
Q1 2026$351.6M+8.5%
Q4 2025$341.4M+7.5%
Q3 2025$329.7M+9.1%
Q2 2025$335.9M+8.6%
Q1 2025$323.9M+7.3%
Q4 2024$317.5M+6.9%

ACEL's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $364M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over ACEL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ACEL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$60.7M+77%
Q2 2026$8.9M+$15.1M
Q1 2026$19.9M+10%
Q4 2025$16M+670%
Q3 2025$34.2M+3.4%
Q2 2025-$6.2M-155%
Q1 2025$18M+122%
Q4 2024$2.1M-89%

ACEL has the edge over EBAY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.

ACEL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 86MQ4 2025: 86MQ1 2026: 84MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 86MQ4 2025: 86MQ1 2026: 84MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-15K shares
1 year-3.1%-2.7M shares
3 years-4.3%-3.7M shares
5 years-12%-11.3M shares
Available history+6.9%+5.4M shares

ACEL has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

ACEL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20252.0xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.3xModerate

ACEL has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

ACEL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.7Neutral
Stochastic74.0Neutral

ACEL's weekly RSI is 70 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

ACEL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricACELSector medianRelative
PE18x18x1% above
PE %274720 pts below

ACEL has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ACEL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.718% above
20 week MA$11.916% above
50 week MA$11.818% above
100 week MA$11.421% above
200 week MA$10.926% above

ACEL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% above its 200-week average.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% above its 200-week average.

ACEL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.3$10.9-12%
2021$10.9$13.2+21%
2022$13.2$7.57-43%
2023$7.57$10.3+36%
2024$10.3$10.6+3.6%
2025$10.6$11.7+10%
2026 YTD$11.7$13.8+18%

ACEL has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 18% so far in 2026.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over ACEL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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