ACEL

Accel Entertainment, Inc.

67
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

ACEL offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over ACEL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ACEL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

ACEL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

ACEL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x66x89x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x66x89x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$12.09-13%
Forward16x$13.83—
Current18x$13.83—
Fair21x$15.87+15%
Expensive28x$20.96+52%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACEL's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over ACEL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ACEL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

ACEL has the edge over AMZN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

ACEL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$17.36
Downside-12%$12.17

Calculated from the latest close: $13.83 on Nov 12.

ACEL trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ACEL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ACEL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.51Q2 2024: $0.57Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.41Q1 2025: $0.49Q2 2025: $0.40Q3 2025: $0.50Q4 2025: $0.60Q1 2026: $0.60Q2 2026: $0.67Q3 2026: $0.76Forward: $0.88
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.51Q2 2024: $0.57Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.41Q1 2025: $0.49Q2 2025: $0.40Q3 2025: $0.50Q4 2025: $0.60Q1 2026: $0.60Q2 2026: $0.67Q3 2026: $0.76Forward: $0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.88+16%
Q3 2026$0.76+52%
Q2 2026$0.67+68%
Q1 2026$0.60+22%
Q4 2025$0.60+46%
Q3 2025$0.50-2%
Q2 2025$0.40-30%
Q1 2025$0.49-3.9%
Q4 2024$0.41-23%

ACEL earned $0.76 per share over the past year, up 52% from the year before.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over ACEL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ACEL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: $302MQ2 2024: $309MQ3 2024: $302MQ4 2024: $318MQ1 2025: $324MQ2 2025: $336MQ3 2025: $330MQ4 2025: $341MQ1 2026: $352MQ2 2026: $368MQ3 2026: $364M
Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: $302MQ2 2024: $309MQ3 2024: $302MQ4 2024: $318MQ1 2025: $324MQ2 2025: $336MQ3 2025: $330MQ4 2025: $341MQ1 2026: $352MQ2 2026: $368MQ3 2026: $364M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$363.6M+10%
Q2 2026$368.1M+9.6%
Q1 2026$351.6M+8.5%
Q4 2025$341.4M+7.5%
Q3 2025$329.7M+9.1%
Q2 2025$335.9M+8.6%
Q1 2025$323.9M+7.3%
Q4 2024$317.5M+6.9%

ACEL's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $364M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over ACEL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ACEL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$60.7M+77%
Q2 2026$8.9M+$15.1M
Q1 2026$19.9M+10%
Q4 2025$16M+670%
Q3 2025$34.2M+3.4%
Q2 2025-$6.2M-155%
Q1 2025$18M+122%
Q4 2024$2.1M-89%

ACEL has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

ACEL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 86MQ4 2025: 86MQ1 2026: 84MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 86MQ4 2025: 86MQ1 2026: 84MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-15K shares
1 year-3.1%-2.7M shares
3 years-4.3%-3.7M shares
5 years-12%-11.3M shares
Available history+6.9%+5.4M shares

ACEL has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

ACEL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20252.0xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.3xModerate

ACEL's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.0 years a year ago.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over ACEL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ACEL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.7Neutral
Stochastic74.0Neutral

ACEL's weekly RSI is 70 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

ACEL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricACELSector medianRelative
PE18x18x1% above
PE %274720 pts below

ACEL has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

ACEL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.718% above
20 week MA$11.916% above
50 week MA$11.818% above
100 week MA$11.421% above
200 week MA$10.926% above

ACEL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% above its 200-week average.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.

ACEL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.3$10.9-12%
2021$10.9$13.2+21%
2022$13.2$7.57-43%
2023$7.57$10.3+36%
2024$10.3$10.6+3.6%
2025$10.6$11.7+10%
2026 YTD$11.7$13.8+18%

ACEL has the edge over AMZN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

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