ACAD

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc.

63
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

ACAD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over ACAD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

ACAD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ACAD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ACAD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x72x96x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x72x96x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8.6x$18.14—
Cheap9.8x$20.70+14%
Fair16x$33.30+84%
Forward17x$18.14—
Expensive23x$47.72+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACAD has the edge over OSCR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ACAD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ACAD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over ACAD on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

ACAD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$25.35
Downside-21%$14.34

Calculated from the latest close: $18.14 on Nov 12.

ACAD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails ACAD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ACAD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $0.78Q4 2024: $1.36Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.33Q3 2025: $1.55Q4 2025: $2.30Q1 2026: $2.21Q2 2026: $2.23Q3 2026: $2.12Forward: $1.05
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $0.78Q4 2024: $1.36Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.33Q3 2025: $1.55Q4 2025: $2.30Q1 2026: $2.21Q2 2026: $2.23Q3 2026: $2.12Forward: $1.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.05-50%
Q3 2026$2.12+37%
Q2 2026$2.23+68%
Q1 2026$2.21+61%
Q4 2025$2.30+69%
Q3 2025$1.55+99%
Q2 2025$1.33+639%
Q1 2025$1.37+$1.38
Q4 2024$1.36+$1.74

ACAD has the edge over OSCR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ACAD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $231MQ1 2024: $206MQ2 2024: $242MQ3 2024: $250MQ4 2024: $260MQ1 2025: $244MQ2 2025: $265MQ3 2025: $279MQ4 2025: $284MQ1 2026: $268MQ2 2026: $308MQ3 2026: $342M
Q4 2023: $231MQ1 2024: $206MQ2 2024: $242MQ3 2024: $250MQ4 2024: $260MQ1 2025: $244MQ2 2025: $265MQ3 2025: $279MQ4 2025: $284MQ1 2026: $268MQ2 2026: $308MQ3 2026: $342M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$342.3M+23%
Q2 2026$308M+16%
Q1 2026$268.1M+9.7%
Q4 2025$284M+9.4%
Q3 2025$278.6M+11%
Q2 2025$264.6M+9.3%
Q1 2025$244.3M+19%
Q4 2024$259.6M+12%

ACAD's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $342M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over ACAD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ACAD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $40MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: −$53MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $40MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: −$53MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10.3M-86%
Q1 2026$28.8M+42%
Q4 2025-$52.7M-232%
Q1 2025$20.3M-30%
Q4 2024$39.9M-53%
Q2 2024$25M+205%
Q1 2024$29.1M+$47M
Q4 2023$85.4M+$109.2M

ACAD has burned cash in most quarters: $82M over the past year, down 48% from the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over ACAD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ACAD Total Shares

Q1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 168MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 171MQ4 2025: 170MQ1 2026: 173MQ2 2026: 173MQ3 2026: 175M
Q1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 168MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 171MQ4 2025: 170MQ1 2026: 173MQ2 2026: 173MQ3 2026: 175M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+2.6M shares
1 year+2.8%+4.8M shares
3 years+8.8%+14.2M shares
5 years+13%+20.1M shares

ACAD has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

ACAD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -43.5xQ2 2024: -5.2xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -3.0xQ2 2026: -3.9xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -43.5xQ2 2024: -5.2xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -3.0xQ2 2026: -3.9xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash

ACAD has more cash than debt.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over ACAD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ACAD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.7Neutral
Stochastic18.4Oversold

ACAD's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

ACAD PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricACADSector medianRelative
PE8.6x26x67% below
PE %02929 pts below

ACAD has the edge over OSCR on valuation relative to its sector.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

ACAD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.98.8% below
20 week MA$24.426% below
50 week MA$23.824% below
100 week MA$22.218% below
200 week MA$21.616% below

ACAD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over ACAD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ACAD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.0$55.0+25%
2021$55.0$24.3-56%
2022$24.3$15.5-36%
2023$15.5$31.3+102%
2024$31.3$17.0-46%
2025$17.0$27.6+63%
2026 YTD$27.6$18.1-34%

ACAD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +102% in 2023 to −56% in 2021. It's down 34% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over ACAD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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