ACAD

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc.

63
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

ACAD's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 8.6x earnings, about half its usual 16x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

ACAD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ACAD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ACAD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x72x96x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x72x96x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8.6x$18.14—
Cheap9.8x$20.70+14%
Fair16x$33.30+84%
Forward17x$18.14—
Expensive23x$47.72+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACAD's PE is in its cheap range at 8.6x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 17x, in its fair range.

ACAD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ACAD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ACAD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$25.35
Downside-21%$14.34

Calculated from the latest close: $18.14 on Nov 12.

ACAD's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +40% against −21%.

ACAD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $0.78Q4 2024: $1.36Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.33Q3 2025: $1.55Q4 2025: $2.30Q1 2026: $2.21Q2 2026: $2.23Q3 2026: $2.12Forward: $1.05
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $0.78Q4 2024: $1.36Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.33Q3 2025: $1.55Q4 2025: $2.30Q1 2026: $2.21Q2 2026: $2.23Q3 2026: $2.12Forward: $1.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.05-50%
Q3 2026$2.12+37%
Q2 2026$2.23+68%
Q1 2026$2.21+61%
Q4 2025$2.30+69%
Q3 2025$1.55+99%
Q2 2025$1.33+639%
Q1 2025$1.37+$1.38
Q4 2024$1.36+$1.74

ACAD's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.12 over the past year, up 37% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

ACAD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $231MQ1 2024: $206MQ2 2024: $242MQ3 2024: $250MQ4 2024: $260MQ1 2025: $244MQ2 2025: $265MQ3 2025: $279MQ4 2025: $284MQ1 2026: $268MQ2 2026: $308MQ3 2026: $342M
Q4 2023: $231MQ1 2024: $206MQ2 2024: $242MQ3 2024: $250MQ4 2024: $260MQ1 2025: $244MQ2 2025: $265MQ3 2025: $279MQ4 2025: $284MQ1 2026: $268MQ2 2026: $308MQ3 2026: $342M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$342.3M+23%
Q2 2026$308M+16%
Q1 2026$268.1M+9.7%
Q4 2025$284M+9.4%
Q3 2025$278.6M+11%
Q2 2025$264.6M+9.3%
Q1 2025$244.3M+19%
Q4 2024$259.6M+12%

ACAD's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $342M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

ACAD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $40MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: −$53MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $40MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: −$53MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10.3M-86%
Q1 2026$28.8M+42%
Q4 2025-$52.7M-232%
Q1 2025$20.3M-30%
Q4 2024$39.9M-53%
Q2 2024$25M+205%
Q1 2024$29.1M+$47M
Q4 2023$85.4M+$109.2M

ACAD has burned cash in most quarters: $82M over the past year, down 48% from the year before.

ACAD Total Shares

Q1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 168MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 171MQ4 2025: 170MQ1 2026: 173MQ2 2026: 173MQ3 2026: 175M
Q1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 168MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 171MQ4 2025: 170MQ1 2026: 173MQ2 2026: 173MQ3 2026: 175M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+2.6M shares
1 year+2.8%+4.8M shares
3 years+8.8%+14.2M shares
5 years+13%+20.1M shares

ACAD has 175M diluted shares, up 2.8% from a year ago.

ACAD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -43.5xQ2 2024: -5.2xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -3.0xQ2 2026: -3.9xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -43.5xQ2 2024: -5.2xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -3.0xQ2 2026: -3.9xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash

ACAD has more cash than debt.

ACAD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.7Neutral
Stochastic18.4Oversold

ACAD's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

ACAD PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricACADSector medianRelative
PE8.6x26x67% below
PE %02929 pts below

ACAD is trading at 8.6x earnings, a 67% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

ACAD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.98.8% below
20 week MA$24.426% below
50 week MA$23.824% below
100 week MA$22.218% below
200 week MA$21.616% below

ACAD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

ACAD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.0$55.0+25%
2021$55.0$24.3-56%
2022$24.3$15.5-36%
2023$15.5$31.3+102%
2024$31.3$17.0-46%
2025$17.0$27.6+63%
2026 YTD$27.6$18.1-34%

ACAD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +102% in 2023 to −56% in 2021. It's down 34% so far in 2026.

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