AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has the edge over VRRM overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

VRRM

Verra Mobility Corporation

45
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential20/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

VRRM offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

VRRM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

VRRM's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

VRRM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE229x459x688x918x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE229x459x688x918x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward2.6x$1.96—
Current8.2x$1.96—
Cheap31x$7.49+282%
Fair46x$11.05+464%
Expensive111x$26.65+1260%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRRM has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

VRRM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect VRRM's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VRRM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VRRM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$2.23
Downside-56%$0.87

Calculated from the latest close: $1.96 on Nov 12.

VRRM trails AAPL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over VRRM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VRRM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.50Q2 2024: $0.57Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.22Q2 2025: $0.26Q3 2025: $0.34Q4 2025: $0.85Q1 2026: $0.82Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.24Forward: $0.75
Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.50Q2 2024: $0.57Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.22Q2 2025: $0.26Q3 2025: $0.34Q4 2025: $0.85Q1 2026: $0.82Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.24Forward: $0.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.75+214%
Q3 2026$0.24-29%
Q2 2026$0.260%
Q1 2026$0.82+273%
Q4 2025$0.85+347%
Q3 2025$0.34-43%
Q2 2025$0.26-54%
Q1 2025$0.22-56%
Q4 2024$0.19-47%

VRRM earned $0.24 per share over the past year, down 29% from the year before.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over VRRM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VRRM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $28M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $28M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28.3M-21%
Q2 2026$25.8M-22%
Q1 2026$27.3M-13%
Q4 2025$32.7M+0.7%
Q3 2025$35.7M+26%
Q2 2025$33.2M+15%
Q1 2025$31.4M+19%
Q4 2024$32.4M+17%

VRRM's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $28M last quarter, down 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL has the edge over VRRM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VRRM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $85MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $89M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $85MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $89M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$89.4M+83%
Q2 2026$32.6M-19%
Q1 2026$9.6M-77%
Q4 2025$5.7M-73%
Q3 2025$49M-42%
Q2 2025$40.3M+55%
Q1 2025$41.7M+108%
Q4 2024$21.6M+12%

VRRM still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $137M over the past year.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.

VRRM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 160MQ1 2024: 169MQ2 2024: 169MQ3 2024: 168MQ4 2024: 168MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 162MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 154MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 152M
Q4 2023: 160MQ1 2024: 169MQ2 2024: 169MQ3 2024: 168MQ4 2024: 168MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 162MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 154MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 152M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+175K shares
1 year-6%-9.7M shares
3 years-10%-17.4M shares
5 years-8%-13.3M shares
Available history-7.5%-12.3M shares

VRRM has the edge over AAPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL has the edge over VRRM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VRRM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 3.9xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.7x
Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 3.9xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.7xElevated
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20253.2xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.7xElevated
Q4 20243.9xElevated

VRRM's net debt is about 3.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.1 years a year ago.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

VRRM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI18.4Oversold
Stochastic2.7Oversold

VRRM's weekly RSI is 18 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

VRRM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVRRMSector medianRelative
PE8.2x28x71% below
PE %33532 pts below

VRRM has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over VRRM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VRRM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.7428% below
20 week MA$3.6747% below
50 week MA$10.882% below
100 week MA$17.389% below
200 week MA$19.790% below

VRRM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over VRRM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VRRM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.0$13.5-3.6%
2021$13.5$15.2+12%
2022$15.2$13.5-11%
2023$13.5$23.0+71%
2024$23.0$24.1+4.6%
2025$24.1$22.5-6.6%
2026 YTD$22.5$1.96-91%

VRRM has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 91% so far in 2026.

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