AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TSEM

Tower Semiconductor Ltd.

65
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation15/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

TSEM has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TSEM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

TSEM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL has the edge over TSEM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSEM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x77x115x154x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x77x115x154x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$27.61-83%
Forward25x$158—
Fair26x$66.20-58%
Expensive42x$106-33%
Current62x$158—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSEM's PE is in its expensive range at 62x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

TSEM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

TSEM has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails TSEM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSEM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+99%$313.86
Downside-16%$131.91

Calculated from the latest close: $157.86 on Nov 12.

TSEM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over TSEM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSEM Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.92Q4 2023: $4.65Q1 2024: $4.41Q2 2024: $4.43Q3 2024: $1.85Q4 2024: $1.86Q1 2025: $1.81Q2 2025: $1.74Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.93Q1 2026: $2.15Q2 2026: $2.53Forward: $6.34
Q3 2023: $4.92Q4 2023: $4.65Q1 2024: $4.41Q2 2024: $4.43Q3 2024: $1.85Q4 2024: $1.86Q1 2025: $1.81Q2 2025: $1.74Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.93Q1 2026: $2.15Q2 2026: $2.53Forward: $6.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.34+151%
Q2 2026$2.53+45%
Q1 2026$2.15+19%
Q4 2025$1.93+3.8%
Q3 2025$1.72-7%
Q2 2025$1.74-61%
Q1 2025$1.81-59%
Q4 2024$1.86-60%
Q3 2024$1.85-62%

TSEM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.53 over the past year, against $4.92 in late 2023.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over TSEM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TSEM Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $358MQ4 2023: $352MQ1 2024: $327MQ2 2024: $351MQ3 2024: $371MQ4 2024: $387MQ1 2025: $358MQ2 2025: $372MQ3 2025: $396MQ4 2025: $440MQ1 2026: $414MQ2 2026: $460M
Q3 2023: $358MQ4 2023: $352MQ1 2024: $327MQ2 2024: $351MQ3 2024: $371MQ4 2024: $387MQ1 2025: $358MQ2 2025: $372MQ3 2025: $396MQ4 2025: $440MQ1 2026: $414MQ2 2026: $460M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$460.1M+24%
Q1 2026$413.6M+15%
Q4 2025$440.2M+14%
Q3 2025$395.7M+6.8%
Q2 2025$372.1M+5.9%
Q1 2025$358.2M+9.5%
Q4 2024$387.2M+10%
Q3 2024$370.5M+3.4%

TSEM's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $460M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL has the edge over TSEM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSEM Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $301MQ4 2023: −$23MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $470,000Q3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: −$75MQ1 2026: $354MQ2 2026: −$10M
Q3 2023: $301MQ4 2023: −$23MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $470,000Q3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: −$75MQ1 2026: $354MQ2 2026: −$10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$9.6M-181%
Q1 2026$353.6M+$371.1M
Q4 2025-$75.3M-2680%
Q3 2025$35.9M+$38.8M
Q2 2025$11.9M+2436%
Q1 2025-$17.5M-245%
Q4 2024$2.9M+$25.6M
Q3 2024-$2.9M-101%

TSEM's free cash flow has turned positive again: $305M over the past year, against −$6M the year before.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over TSEM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSEM Total Shares

Q3 2023: 111MQ4 2023: 111MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 112MQ3 2024: 112MQ4 2024: 113MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 114MQ1 2026: 114MQ2 2026: 114M
Q3 2023: 111MQ4 2023: 111MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 112MQ3 2024: 112MQ4 2024: 113MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 114MQ1 2026: 114MQ2 2026: 114M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+85K shares
1 year+1%+1.1M shares
3 years+2.9%+3.2M shares
5 years+4.4%+4.8M shares
Available history+6.3%+6.8M shares

TSEM has 114M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TSEM Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.2xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.1x
Q3 2023: -0.2xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.1xNet Cash

TSEM has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

TSEM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.7Neutral
Stochastic9.7Oversold

TSEM's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL has the edge over TSEM on valuation relative to its sector.

TSEM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTSEMSector medianRelative
PE62x28x124% above
PE %873552 pts above

TSEM is trading at 62x earnings, a 124% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over TSEM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TSEM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$190.617% below
20 week MA$213.026% below
50 week MA$191.317% below
100 week MA$122.329% above
200 week MA$79.499% above

TSEM has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 99% above its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 30% so far in 2026.

TSEM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.3$25.4+4.7%
2021$25.4$38.4+51%
2022$38.4$43.9+14%
2023$43.9$30.5-31%
2024$30.5$52.1+71%
2025$52.1$121.6+134%
2026 YTD$121.6$157.9+30%

TSEM has the edge over AAPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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