AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SAIL

SailPoint, Inc.

61
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

SAIL has a slight edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SAIL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Strong
Strong

SAIL's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is weak.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

SAIL PE Valuation

SAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

SAIL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

SAIL has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails SAIL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SAIL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$33.78
Downside-37%$12.91

Calculated from the latest close: $20.58 on Nov 12.

SAIL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 20% for AAPL versus SAIL down 133%.

SAIL Earnings Per Share

Q2 2022: $-0.98Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $-0.25Q3 2026: $-0.32Forward: $0.38
Q2 2022: $-0.98Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $-0.25Q3 2026: $-0.32Forward: $0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.38—
Q2 2022-$0.98-$0.57
Q1 2022-$0.85-$0.65
Q4 2021-$0.67-$0.55
Q3 2021-$0.61-$0.60
Q2 2021-$0.41-1125%
Q1 2021-$0.20-$0.11
Q4 2020-$0.12-$0.02
Q3 2020-$0.01+$0.01

SAIL is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.32 per share over the past year, against $0.98 at its worst in mid-2022.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

SAIL Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2022: $134MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $188MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $235MQ1 2025: $240MQ2 2025: $230MQ3 2025: $264MQ4 2025: $282MQ1 2026: $295MQ2 2026: $280MQ3 2026: $309M
Q2 2022: $134MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $188MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $235MQ1 2025: $240MQ2 2025: $230MQ3 2025: $264MQ4 2025: $282MQ1 2026: $295MQ2 2026: $280MQ3 2026: $309M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$308.8M+17%
Q2 2026$280.1M+22%
Q1 2026$294.6M+23%
Q4 2025$281.9M+20%
Q3 2025$264.4M+33%
Q2 2025$230.5M+23%
Q1 2025$240.1M+18%
Q2 2022$134.3M+31%

SAIL has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

SAIL Free Cash Flow

Q2 2022: −$18MQ1 2024: −$55MQ2 2024: −$58MQ3 2024: −$57MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: −$99MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $37MQ3 2026: $43M
Q2 2022: −$18MQ1 2024: −$55MQ2 2024: −$58MQ3 2024: −$57MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: −$99MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $37MQ3 2026: $43M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43M-12%
Q2 2026$37.3M+$136.3M
Q1 2026$62.1M+425%
Q4 2025$52.5M+$69.3M
Q3 2025$49M+$105.5M
Q2 2025-$99M-$40.5M
Q1 2025$11.8M+$66.7M
Q2 2022-$18.4M-$4.8M

SAIL's free cash flow has turned positive after three years mostly in the red: $195M over the past year.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over SAIL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SAIL Total Shares

Q2 2022: 94MQ1 2024: 138MQ2 2024: 182MQ3 2024: 545MQ4 2024: 545MQ2 2025: 500MQ3 2025: 556MQ4 2025: 558MQ1 2026: 544MQ2 2026: 565MQ3 2026: 568M
Q2 2022: 94MQ1 2024: 138MQ2 2024: 182MQ3 2024: 545MQ4 2024: 545MQ2 2025: 500MQ3 2025: 556MQ4 2025: 558MQ1 2026: 544MQ2 2026: 565MQ3 2026: 568M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+3.6M shares
1 year+2.2%+12.4M shares
3 years+513%+475M shares
5 years+539%+479M shares
Available history+559%+482M shares

SAIL has 568M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SAIL Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: -4.9xQ3 2025: -4.7xQ4 2025: -7.4xQ2 2026: -41.3x
Q1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: -4.9xQ3 2025: -4.7xQ4 2025: -7.4xQ2 2026: -41.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-41.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-7.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q1 20255.2xHigh
Q1 2021-45.8xNet Cash
Q4 2020-26.6xNet Cash
Q3 2020-17.3xNet Cash

SAIL has more cash than debt.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

SAIL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.0Neutral
Stochastic62.8Neutral

SAIL's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SAIL PE vs Technology Sector

SAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

SAIL has stronger trend alignment. AAPL is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus SAIL above 3 of 3.

SAIL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.40.9% above
20 week MA$18.611% above
50 week MA$16.823% above

SAIL is in an uptrend: it's above all three of its weekly moving averages, and 23% above its 50-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over SAIL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SAIL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$24.6$21.2-14%
2026 YTD$21.2$20.6-2.7%

SAIL has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 2.7% so far in 2026.

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