AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has a slight edge over PEGA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
PEGA
Pegasystems Inc.
PEGA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
PEGA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
PEGA's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.
PEGA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 14x | $32.04 | — |
| Cheap | 26x | $30.01 | -6.3% |
| Current | 28x | $32.04 | — |
| Fair | 46x | $53.25 | +66% |
| Expensive | 75x | $86.65 | +170% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PEGA has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
PEGA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect PEGA's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
PEGA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.34 | +103% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.15 | -25% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.31 | +7.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.40 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.67 | +198% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.54 | +123% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.22 | +67% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.08 | +157% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.56 | +56% |
PEGA has the edge over AAPL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL has the edge over PEGA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over PEGA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PEGA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $393.4M | +3.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $420.7M | +9.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $430M | -9.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $504.3M | +2.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $381.4M | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $384.5M | +9.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $475.6M | +44% |
| Q4 2024 | $490.8M | +3.5% |
PEGA's revenue has held roughly level: $393M last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.8% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6% | -18 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | -8.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.8% | +7.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.5% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 27% | +33 points |
| Q4 2024 | 29% | -3.6 points |
PEGA's operating margin was 3.8% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
PEGA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6M | -97% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.7M | -2.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $206.5M | +2.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $152.4M | +65% |
| Q3 2025 | $51.8M | +89% |
| Q2 2025 | $84.1M | +117% |
| Q1 2025 | $202.3M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $92.4M | +19% |
PEGA has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
PEGA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.8% | -3.1M shares |
| 1 year | -8.4% | -15.5M shares |
| 3 years | +1.2% | +2M shares |
| 5 years | +3.4% | +5.6M shares |
| Available history | +6.7% | +10.5M shares |
PEGA has the edge over AAPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $65M |
| Q2 2026 | $200.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $167.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $105M |
| Q3 2025 | $143M |
| Q2 2025 | $134.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $117.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $56.8M |
PEGA spent $538M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 19% from the year before.
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
PEGA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
PEGA has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
PEGA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 32.6 | Neutral |
PEGA's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
PEGA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PEGA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 28x | Same PE |
| PE % | 22 | 35 | 13 pts below |
PEGA has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL has the edge over PEGA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PEGA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $34.1 | 6% below |
| 20 week MA | $33.4 | 4.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $39.7 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $44.7 | 28% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.5 | 12% below |
PEGA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 12% below its 200-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has the edge over PEGA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PEGA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $39.7 | $69.3 | +75% |
| 2021 | $69.3 | $55.2 | -20% |
| 2022 | $55.2 | $17.1 | -69% |
| 2023 | $17.1 | $24.4 | +43% |
| 2024 | $24.4 | $47.2 | +93% |
| 2025 | $47.2 | $62.4 | +32% |
| 2026 YTD | $62.4 | $32.0 | -49% |
PEGA is down 49% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.