AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has the edge over PAGS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

PAGS

PagSeguro Digital Ltd.

50
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

PAGS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PAGS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Under pressure
Weak

PAGS's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

PAGS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x91x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x91x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current5.8x$7.82—
Cheap7.1x$9.52+22%
Fair12x$16.50+111%
Expensive51x$67.68+766%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PAGS has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

PAGS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PAGS's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails PAGS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PAGS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$11.47
Downside-32%$5.33

Calculated from the latest close: $7.82 on Nov 12.

PAGS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

PAGS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.86Q4 2023: $0.91Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.05Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.31Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.34
Q3 2023: $0.86Q4 2023: $0.91Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.05Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.31Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.34+5.5%
Q1 2026$1.31+6.5%
Q4 2025$1.28+7.6%
Q3 2025$1.31+17%
Q2 2025$1.27+21%
Q1 2025$1.23+26%
Q4 2024$1.19+31%
Q3 2024$1.12+30%

PAGS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.34 over the past year, up 5.5% from the year before, and higher year over year for 18 quarters in a row.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over PAGS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PAGS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $709MQ4 2023: $765MQ1 2024: $752MQ2 2024: $792MQ3 2024: $842MQ4 2024: $896MQ1 2025: $843MQ2 2025: $876MQ3 2025: $880MQ4 2025: $950MQ1 2026: $840MQ2 2026: $874M
Q3 2023: $709MQ4 2023: $765MQ1 2024: $752MQ2 2024: $792MQ3 2024: $842MQ4 2024: $896MQ1 2025: $843MQ2 2025: $876MQ3 2025: $880MQ4 2025: $950MQ1 2026: $840MQ2 2026: $874M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$873.8M-0.2%
Q1 2026$840.1M-0.4%
Q4 2025$949.7M+6%
Q3 2025$880.1M+4.5%
Q2 2025$875.7M+11%
Q1 2025$843.5M+12%
Q4 2024$895.7M+17%
Q3 2024$842.3M+19%

PAGS's revenue has held roughly level: $874M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL has the edge over PAGS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

PAGS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $80MQ4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: $335MQ2 2024: −$930MQ3 2024: −$228MQ4 2024: −$146MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $306MQ3 2025: $299MQ4 2025: −$579MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $140M
Q3 2023: $80MQ4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: $335MQ2 2024: −$930MQ3 2024: −$228MQ4 2024: −$146MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $306MQ3 2025: $299MQ4 2025: −$579MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $140M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$139.8M-54%
Q1 2026$39.4M-61%
Q4 2025-$579.5M-$433.3M
Q3 2025$299M+$527.2M
Q2 2025$305.5M+$1.2B
Q1 2025$101.6M-70%
Q4 2024-$146.2M-314%
Q3 2024-$228.1M-387%

PAGS's free cash flow was −$101M over the past year, against $33M the year before.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.

PAGS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 324MQ4 2023: 320MQ1 2024: 321MQ2 2024: 322MQ3 2024: 321MQ4 2024: 314MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 301MQ3 2025: 295MQ4 2025: 290MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 279M
Q3 2023: 324MQ4 2023: 320MQ1 2024: 321MQ2 2024: 322MQ3 2024: 321MQ4 2024: 314MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 301MQ3 2025: 295MQ4 2025: 290MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 279M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.4M shares
1 year-7.1%-21.2M shares
3 years-14%-46M shares
5 years-15%-50.9M shares
Available history-15%-51.1M shares

PAGS has the edge over AAPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL has the edge over PAGS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PAGS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.5xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.7x
Q3 2023: 0.5xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.7xHigh
Q1 20264.6xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20254.5xHigh
Q2 20254.8xHigh
Q1 20254.7xHigh
Q4 20245.3xHigh
Q3 20245.1xHigh

PAGS's net debt is about 4.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

PAGS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.9Neutral
Stochastic7.0Oversold

PAGS's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

PAGS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPAGSSector medianRelative
PE5.8x28x79% below
PE %13534 pts below

PAGS has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over PAGS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PAGS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.3817% below
20 week MA$9.2916% below
50 week MA$9.6919% below
100 week MA$9.1114% below
200 week MA$9.7620% below

PAGS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over PAGS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PAGS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.5$53.8+56%
2021$53.8$26.7-50%
2022$26.7$8.62-68%
2023$8.62$12.5+45%
2024$12.5$6.38-49%
2025$6.38$9.77+53%
2026 YTD$9.77$7.82-20%

PAGS has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 20% so far in 2026.

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