AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ON

ON Semiconductor Corporation

71
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

ON has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ON's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL has the edge over ON in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ON PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE92x185x277x369x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE92x185x277x369x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$26.87-64%
Forward17x$73.73—
Fair28x$47.27-36%
Current44x$73.73—
Expensive68x$113+53%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ON's PE is in its expensive range at 44x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

ON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

ON has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails ON on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$123.14
Downside-18%$60.14

Calculated from the latest close: $73.73 on Nov 12.

ON has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over ON on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.89Q1 2024: $4.90Q2 2024: $4.39Q3 2024: $4.03Q4 2024: $3.63Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.07Q4 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.29Q2 2026: $1.36Q3 2026: $1.51Q4 2026: $1.67Forward: $4.43
Q4 2023: $4.89Q1 2024: $4.90Q2 2024: $4.39Q3 2024: $4.03Q4 2024: $3.63Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.07Q4 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.29Q2 2026: $1.36Q3 2026: $1.51Q4 2026: $1.67Forward: $4.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.43+165%
Q3 2026$1.67+117%
Q2 2026$1.51+41%
Q1 2026$1.36-5.6%
Q4 2025$0.29-92%
Q3 2025$0.77-81%
Q2 2025$1.07-76%
Q1 2025$1.44-71%
Q4 2024$3.63-26%

ON's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.67 over the past year, against $4.96 in late 2023.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over ON on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6BQ4 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6BQ4 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+11%
Q2 2026$1.6B+9.2%
Q1 2026$1.5B+4.7%
Q4 2025$1.5B-11%
Q3 2025$1.6B-12%
Q2 2025$1.5B-15%
Q1 2025$1.4B-22%
Q4 2024$1.7B-15%

ON's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $1.7B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

ON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $221MQ1 2024: $276MQ2 2024: $208MQ3 2024: $294MQ4 2024: $435MQ2 2025: $455MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $372MQ4 2025: $485MQ2 2026: $217MQ3 2026: $425MQ4 2026: $489M
Q4 2023: $221MQ1 2024: $276MQ2 2024: $208MQ3 2024: $294MQ4 2024: $435MQ2 2025: $455MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $372MQ4 2025: $485MQ2 2026: $217MQ3 2026: $425MQ4 2026: $489M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$488.6M+31%
Q2 2026$425.4M+301%
Q1 2026$217.2M-52%
Q4 2025$485.4M+12%
Q3 2025$372.4M+27%
Q2 2025$106.1M-49%
Q1 2025$454.7M+65%
Q4 2024$434.8M+97%

ON has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.

ON Total Shares

Q4 2023: 447MQ1 2024: 437MQ2 2024: 433MQ3 2024: 432MQ4 2024: 433MQ2 2025: 421MQ3 2025: 415MQ4 2025: 408MQ4 2025: 412MQ2 2026: 394MQ3 2026: 404MQ4 2026: 397M
Q4 2023: 447MQ1 2024: 437MQ2 2024: 433MQ3 2024: 432MQ4 2024: 433MQ2 2025: 421MQ3 2025: 415MQ4 2025: 408MQ4 2025: 412MQ2 2026: 394MQ3 2026: 404MQ4 2026: 397M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-7.1M shares
1 year-2.6%-10.7M shares
3 years-12%-53.4M shares
5 years-9.8%-43.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-18.7M shares

ON has the edge over AAPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ON Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7xQ4 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7xQ4 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 20251.0xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

ON has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

ON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.6Neutral
Stochastic25.8Neutral

ON's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL has the edge over ON on valuation relative to its sector.

ON PE vs Technology Sector

MetricONSector medianRelative
PE44x28x58% above
PE %673532 pts above

ON is trading at 44x earnings, a 58% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over ON on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$74.10.5% below
20 week MA$78.35.9% below
50 week MA$78.25.7% below
100 week MA$63.915% above
200 week MA$71.03.8% above

ON has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 3.8% above its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 30% so far in 2026.

ON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.5$32.0+31%
2021$32.0$66.8+109%
2022$66.8$62.4-6.5%
2023$62.4$83.5+34%
2024$83.5$66.0-21%
2025$66.0$54.9-17%
2026 YTD$54.9$73.7+34%

ON has the edge over AAPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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