AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NVMI
Nova Ltd.
NVMI has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NVMI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
NVMI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL has the edge over NVMI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NVMI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $328 | — |
| Cheap | 26x | $211 | -36% |
| Fair | 39x | $313 | -4.5% |
| Current | 41x | $328 | — |
| Expensive | 54x | $433 | +32% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVMI's PE is in its fair range at 41x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
NVMI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
NVMI has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
NVMI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.34 | +66% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.05 | +9.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.99 | +21% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.01 | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.65 | +43% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.35 | +53% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.61 | +53% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.73 | +34% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.34 | +27% |
NVMI has the edge over AAPL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over NVMI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NVMI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $255M | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $235.3M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $222.6M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $224.6M | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $220M | +40% |
| Q1 2025 | $213.4M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $194.8M | +45% |
| Q3 2024 | $179M | +39% |
NVMI has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 30% | 0 points |
| Q1 2026 | 30% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 27% | -1.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 30% | +3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | +3.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 28% | +1 points |
NVMI's operating margin was 30% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL has the edge over NVMI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NVMI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $38.4M | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $36M | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $48.4M | -21% |
| Q3 2025 | $66.9M | +55% |
| Q2 2025 | $42.9M | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | $59.7M | +5.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $61M | +191% |
| Q3 2024 | $43.1M | -0.2% |
NVMI's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $190M over the past year, down 8.2% from the year before.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has the edge over NVMI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
NVMI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +11K shares |
| 1 year | +7.5% | +2.4M shares |
| 3 years | +7.9% | +2.5M shares |
| 5 years | +16% | +4.6M shares |
| Available history | +21% | +6M shares |
NVMI has 34M diluted shares, up 7.5% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $15M |
| Q3 2025 | $55M |
| Q2 2025 | $96,440 |
| Q1 2025 | $20M |
| Q4 2024 | $30M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NVMI spent $70M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 40% from the year before.
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL has the edge over NVMI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NVMI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
NVMI's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
NVMI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 21.0 | Neutral |
NVMI's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL has the edge over NVMI on valuation relative to its sector.
NVMI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NVMI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 41x | 28x | 46% above |
| PE % | 56 | 35 | 21 pts above |
NVMI is trading at 41x earnings, a 46% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL has the edge over NVMI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NVMI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $337.9 | 3% below |
| 20 week MA | $377.6 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $422.9 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $336.0 | 2.5% below |
| 200 week MA | $242.9 | 35% above |
NVMI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 35% above its 200-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has the edge over NVMI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NVMI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $38.1 | $70.3 | +85% |
| 2021 | $70.3 | $137.0 | +95% |
| 2022 | $137.0 | $81.7 | -40% |
| 2023 | $81.7 | $137.4 | +68% |
| 2024 | $137.4 | $200.1 | +46% |
| 2025 | $200.1 | $330.9 | +65% |
| 2026 YTD | $330.9 | $327.6 | -1% |
NVMI has finished higher in five of the last six years, four of them by more than 50%. It's down 1% so far in 2026.