AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has a slight edge over MSI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

MSI

Motorola Solutions, Inc.

59
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

MSI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

MSI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

MSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x58x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x58x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap31x$385-27%
Fair35x$434-18%
Expensive39x$482-9.1%
Current43x$530—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSI has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

MSI Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSI to show an outlook.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$588.68
Downside-18%$436.43

Calculated from the latest close: $530.40 on Nov 12.

MSI trails AAPL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over MSI on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.93Q1 2024: $8.09Q2 2024: $8.54Q3 2024: $9.13Q4 2024: $9.23Q1 2025: $11.99Q2 2025: $12.43Q3 2025: $12.47Q4 2025: $12.75Q2 2026: $12.40Q3 2026: $12.69Q4 2026: $12.42
Q4 2023: $9.93Q1 2024: $8.09Q2 2024: $8.54Q3 2024: $9.13Q4 2024: $9.23Q1 2025: $11.99Q2 2025: $12.43Q3 2025: $12.47Q4 2025: $12.75Q2 2026: $12.40Q3 2026: $12.69Q4 2026: $12.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$12.42-0.4%
Q2 2026$12.69+2.1%
Q1 2026$12.40+3.4%
Q4 2025$12.75+38%
Q3 2025$12.47+37%
Q2 2025$12.43+46%
Q1 2025$11.99+48%
Q4 2024$9.23-7%

MSI earned $12.42 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over MSI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3.1BQ4 2026: $3.4B
Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3.1BQ4 2026: $3.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.4B+12%
Q2 2026$3.1B+13%
Q1 2026$2.7B+7.4%
Q4 2025$3.4B+12%
Q3 2025$3B+7.8%
Q2 2025$2.8B+5.2%
Q1 2025$2.5B+5.8%
Q4 2024$3B+5.7%

MSI's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $3.4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

MSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $336MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $702MQ4 2024: $984MQ1 2025: $473MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $732MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ2 2026: $389MQ3 2026: $414MQ4 2026: $589M
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $336MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $702MQ4 2024: $984MQ1 2025: $473MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $732MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ2 2026: $389MQ3 2026: $414MQ4 2026: $589M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$589M-20%
Q2 2026$414M+84%
Q1 2026$389M-18%
Q4 2025$1.1B+16%
Q3 2025$732M+4.3%
Q2 2025$225M+101%
Q1 2025$473M+41%
Q4 2024$984M-15%

MSI has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over MSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 172MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 171MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 167MQ4 2026: 167M
Q4 2023: 172MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 171MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 167MQ4 2026: 167M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+200K shares
1 year-0.9%-1.6M shares
3 years-2.5%-4.3M shares
5 years-3.8%-6.7M shares
Available history-4.7%-8.2M shares

MSI has 167M diluted shares, down 0.9% from a year ago, with $1B in buybacks over the past year.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL has the edge over MSI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.3xQ4 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.3xQ4 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

MSI's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

MSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI72.9Overbought
Stochastic81.5Overbought

MSI's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL has the edge over MSI on valuation relative to its sector.

MSI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSISector medianRelative
PE43x28x53% above
PE %863551 pts above

MSI is trading at 43x earnings, a 53% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 57% above its 200-week average.

MSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$478.711% above
20 week MA$461.815% above
50 week MA$434.822% above
100 week MA$434.622% above
200 week MA$387.337% above

MSI is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 37% above its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 30% so far in 2026.

MSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$161.5$168.5+4.3%
2021$168.5$262.9+56%
2022$262.9$256.6-2.4%
2023$256.6$313.1+22%
2024$313.1$467.3+49%
2025$467.3$377.0-19%
2026 YTD$377.0$530.4+41%

MSI has the edge over AAPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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