AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has a slight edge over IPGP overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

IPGP

IPG Photonics Corporation

57
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

IPGP offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

IPGP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

IPGP's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL has the edge over IPGP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

IPGP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x108x162x216x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x108x162x216x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$19.24-73%
Forward35x$70.86—
Fair47x$43.25-39%
Current76x$70.86—
Expensive111x$103+46%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IPGP's PE is in its expensive range at 76x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 35x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

IPGP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

IPGP has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails IPGP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IPGP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$118.06
Downside-15%$60.09

Calculated from the latest close: $70.86 on Nov 12.

IPGP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over IPGP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IPGP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.63Q1 2024: $3.89Q2 2024: $3.03Q3 2024: $-3.46Q4 2024: $-4.09Q1 2025: $-4.52Q2 2025: $-4.81Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.73Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.64Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.63Q1 2024: $3.89Q2 2024: $3.03Q3 2024: $-3.46Q4 2024: $-4.09Q1 2025: $-4.52Q2 2025: $-4.81Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.73Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.64Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+118%
Q3 2026$0.93+33%
Q2 2026$0.64+$5.45
Q1 2026$0.68+$5.20
Q4 2025$0.73+$4.82
Q3 2025$0.70+$4.16
Q2 2025-$4.81-259%
Q1 2025-$4.52-216%
Q4 2024-$4.09-188%

IPGP's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.93 over the past year, against $5.21 in early 2022.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over IPGP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IPGP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $299MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $258MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $228MQ2 2025: $251MQ3 2025: $251MQ4 2025: $274MQ1 2026: $265MQ2 2026: $279MQ3 2026: $288M
Q4 2023: $299MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $258MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $228MQ2 2025: $251MQ3 2025: $251MQ4 2025: $274MQ1 2026: $265MQ2 2026: $279MQ3 2026: $288M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$287.5M+15%
Q2 2026$278.6M+11%
Q1 2026$265.5M+17%
Q4 2025$274.5M+17%
Q3 2025$250.8M+7.6%
Q2 2025$250.7M-2.7%
Q1 2025$227.8M-9.6%
Q4 2024$234.3M-22%

IPGP's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $288M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL has the edge over IPGP on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IPGP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$18MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$18MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$28.8M+98%
Q2 2026$17.1M+$34.7M
Q1 2026-$21.8M-$10.4M
Q4 2025$10.9M-78%
Q3 2025$14.6M-66%
Q2 2025-$17.6M-160%
Q1 2025-$11.4M-143%
Q4 2024$50.6M-37%

IPGP still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2019 peak: $35M over the past year.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over IPGP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IPGP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-72.9K shares
1 year+0.7%+284K shares
3 years-9.6%-4.5M shares
5 years-20%-11M shares
Available history-20%-11M shares

IPGP has 43M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

IPGP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -4.0xQ3 2025: -4.1xQ4 2025: -5.1xQ1 2026: -6.8xQ2 2026: -5.3xQ3 2026: -8.1x
Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -4.0xQ3 2025: -4.1xQ4 2025: -5.1xQ1 2026: -6.8xQ2 2026: -5.3xQ3 2026: -8.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-8.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2023-1.7xNet Cash

IPGP has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

IPGP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.4Neutral
Stochastic17.8Oversold

IPGP's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL has the edge over IPGP on valuation relative to its sector.

IPGP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIPGPSector medianRelative
PE76x28x173% above
PE %763541 pts above

IPGP is trading at 76x earnings, a 173% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over IPGP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IPGP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$73.94.1% below
20 week MA$82.314% below
50 week MA$97.227% below
100 week MA$84.616% below
200 week MA$90.922% below

IPGP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 22% below its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over IPGP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IPGP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$143.9$221.0+54%
2021$221.0$168.9-24%
2022$168.9$92.9-45%
2023$92.9$108.5+17%
2024$108.5$73.4-32%
2025$73.4$75.2+2.4%
2026 YTD$75.2$70.9-5.7%

IPGP has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 5.7% so far in 2026.

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