AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HLIT
Harmonic Inc.
HLIT has a slight edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
HLIT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
HLIT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.
HLIT PE Valuation
HLIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
HLIT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
HLIT has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL has the edge over HLIT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
HLIT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.30 | -171% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.41 | -169% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.36 | -180% |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.38 | -215% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.42 | -43% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.59 | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.45 | -26% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.33 | -54% |
HLIT has swung to a loss: it lost $0.30 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL has the edge over HLIT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over HLIT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HLIT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $148.8M | +4.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $133.5M | -3.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $121.7M | -8.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $98.2M | -56% |
| Q3 2025 | $142.4M | -27% |
| Q2 2025 | $138M | -0.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $133.1M | +9.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $222.2M | +33% |
HLIT's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $149M last quarter, up 4.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 18% | +11 points |
| Q2 2026 | 18% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +9.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8% | -20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.9% | -11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.8% | +14 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.6% | +15 points |
| Q4 2024 | 24% | +18 points |
HLIT's operating margin was 18% last quarter, up 11 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
HLIT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $47.4M | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | -$59.6M | -$44.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $30.3M | -63% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.6M | -79% |
| Q3 2025 | $21M | +267% |
| Q2 2025 | -$15.5M | +$8.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $81.7M | +228% |
| Q4 2024 | $46.2M | +1204% |
HLIT still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $28M over the past year.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
HLIT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +577K shares |
| 1 year | -2.7% | -3.1M shares |
| 3 years | -1.6% | -1.8M shares |
| 5 years | +3.6% | +3.8M shares |
| Available history | +13% | +12.8M shares |
HLIT has the edge over AAPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $1,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $43M |
| Q4 2025 | $13.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $15.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $14M |
| Q1 2025 | $36.1M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
HLIT spent $60M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 9% from the year before.
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
HLIT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
HLIT has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
HLIT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 13.5 | Oversold |
HLIT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
HLIT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | HLIT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
HLIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL has the edge over HLIT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HLIT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.5 | 0.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $11.6 | 9.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.3 | 7.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $10.7 | 1.9% below |
| 200 week MA | $11.8 | 11% below |
HLIT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has the edge over HLIT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
HLIT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.64 | $7.19 | -5.9% |
| 2021 | $7.19 | $11.7 | +63% |
| 2022 | $11.7 | $13.0 | +11% |
| 2023 | $13.0 | $13.0 | +0.3% |
| 2024 | $13.0 | $13.5 | +3.1% |
| 2025 | $13.5 | $9.96 | -26% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.96 | $10.5 | +5.1% |
HLIT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 5.1% so far in 2026.