AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
GCT
GigaCloud Technology Inc.
GCT has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
GCT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
GCT's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL has the edge over GCT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GCT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.7x | $31.18 | -52% |
| Fair | 9.6x | $44.23 | -32% |
| Forward | 12x | $64.79 | — |
| Expensive | 13x | $58.32 | -10% |
| Current | 14x | $64.79 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GCT's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
GCT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
GCT has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
GCT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.61 | +21% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.62 | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.20 | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.95 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.59 | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.34 | +5.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.33 | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.07 | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.05 | +33% |
GCT has the edge over AAPL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over GCT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GCT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $423.6M | +27% |
| Q2 2026 | $411.6M | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $359.5M | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $362.7M | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $332.6M | +9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $322.6M | +3.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $271.9M | +8.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $295.8M | +21% |
GCT has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | +1.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.3% | -5.8 points |
GCT's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 1.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
GCT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $55.8M | -28% |
| Q2 2026 | $45.1M | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | -$26.2M | -472% |
| Q4 2025 | $61.7M | -7.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.1M | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $37M | +187% |
| Q1 2025 | $7M | -38% |
| Q4 2024 | $66.9M | +42% |
GCT generated $136M in free cash flow over the past year, down 27% from the year before.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
GCT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2% | -722K shares |
| 1 year | -4.7% | -1.8M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -5.1M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -4.4M shares |
| Available history | +277% | +26.3M shares |
GCT has the edge over AAPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $30M |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $22.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $23.2M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | $1.5M |
| Q2 2023 | — |
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
GCT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
GCT has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
GCT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 75.7 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 79.3 | Neutral |
GCT's weekly RSI is 76 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
GCT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | GCT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 28x | 50% below |
| PE % | 91 | 43 | 48 pts above |
GCT has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 57% above its 200-week average.
GCT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $57.8 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $50.6 | 28% above |
| 50 week MA | $44.2 | 46% above |
| 100 week MA | $33.1 | 96% above |
| 200 week MA | $25.6 | 153% above |
GCT is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 153% above its 200-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 30% so far in 2026.
GCT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $48.0 | $5.53 | -88% |
| 2023 | $5.53 | $18.3 | +231% |
| 2024 | $18.3 | $17.6 | -4% |
| 2025 | $17.6 | $40.2 | +129% |
| 2026 YTD | $40.2 | $64.8 | +61% |
GCT has the edge over AAPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.