AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ERIC

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ)

61
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

ERIC has a slight edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ERIC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ERIC's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL has the edge over ERIC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ERIC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2166x4332x6498x8664x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2166x4332x6498x8664x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$6.18-42%
Fair15x$8.58-19%
Current18x$10.61—
Expensive132x$76.83+624%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ERIC's PE is 18x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

ERIC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ERIC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails ERIC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ERIC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$13.22
Downside-20%$8.54

Calculated from the latest close: $10.61 on Nov 12.

ERIC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

ERIC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.82Q1 2024: $-0.78Q2 2024: $-1.09Q3 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $0.01Q1 2025: $0.04Q2 2025: $0.51Q3 2025: $0.73Q4 2025: $0.84Q1 2026: $0.75Q2 2026: $0.74Q3 2026: $0.58
Q4 2023: $-0.82Q1 2024: $-0.78Q2 2024: $-1.09Q3 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $0.01Q1 2025: $0.04Q2 2025: $0.51Q3 2025: $0.73Q4 2025: $0.84Q1 2026: $0.75Q2 2026: $0.74Q3 2026: $0.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.58-21%
Q2 2026$0.74+45%
Q1 2026$0.75+1775%
Q4 2025$0.84+8300%
Q3 2025$0.73+$0.77
Q2 2025$0.51+$1.60
Q1 2025$0.04+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.01+$0.83

ERIC has the edge over AAPL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over ERIC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ERIC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $5.6BQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $7.5BQ1 2025: $5.2BQ2 2025: $5.5BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $5.3BQ3 2026: $6B
Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $5.6BQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $7.5BQ1 2025: $5.2BQ2 2025: $5.5BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $5.3BQ3 2026: $6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6B+5.8%
Q2 2026$5.3B-4.3%
Q1 2026$5.1B-0.9%
Q4 2025$6.8B-9.2%
Q3 2025$5.7B-5.9%
Q2 2025$5.5B-7%
Q1 2025$5.2B-6.7%
Q4 2024$7.5B+10%

ERIC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $6B last quarter, up 5.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL has the edge over ERIC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ERIC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $484MQ2 2024: $854MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $342MQ2 2025: $354MQ3 2025: $730MQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $707MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $536M
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $484MQ2 2024: $854MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $342MQ2 2025: $354MQ3 2025: $730MQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $707MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $536M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$535.9M-27%
Q2 2026$128.9M-64%
Q1 2026$706.5M+107%
Q4 2025$1.5B-17%
Q3 2025$729.6M-45%
Q2 2025$354.2M-59%
Q1 2025$342M-29%
Q4 2024$1.8B+38%

ERIC still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $2.9B over the past year.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.

ERIC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.3BQ1 2024: 3.3BQ2 2024: 3.3BQ3 2024: 3.3BQ4 2024: 3.3BQ1 2025: 3.3BQ2 2025: 3.3BQ3 2025: 3.3BQ4 2025: 3.3BQ1 2026: 3.3BQ2 2026: 3.3BQ3 2026: 3.3B
Q4 2023: 3.3BQ1 2024: 3.3BQ2 2024: 3.3BQ3 2024: 3.3BQ4 2024: 3.3BQ1 2025: 3.3BQ2 2025: 3.3BQ3 2025: 3.3BQ4 2025: 3.3BQ1 2026: 3.3BQ2 2026: 3.3BQ3 2026: 3.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-44M shares
1 year-1.9%-64M shares
3 years-1.6%-52M shares
5 years-1.7%-55M shares
Available history-1.4%-48M shares

ERIC has 3.3B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $795M in buybacks over the past year.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ERIC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20250.0xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.1xVery low

ERIC has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

ERIC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic75.8Neutral

ERIC's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ERIC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricERICSector medianRelative
PE18x28x34% below
PE %643529 pts above

ERIC has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over ERIC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ERIC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.24% above
20 week MA$10.24% above
50 week MA$10.81.4% below
100 week MA$9.5112% above
200 week MA$7.7138% above

ERIC's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 38% above its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over ERIC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ERIC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.86$11.8+33%
2021$11.8$10.8-8.4%
2022$10.8$5.89-45%
2023$5.89$6.30+7%
2024$6.30$8.10+29%
2025$8.10$9.68+20%
2026 YTD$9.68$10.6+9.6%

ERIC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 9.6% so far in 2026.

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