AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SONO

Sonos, Inc.

63
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

SONO has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SONO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

SONO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

SONO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE71x141x212x282x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE71x141x212x282x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$15.38-15%
Current25x$18.11—
Fair34x$24.15+33%
Expensive148x$106+488%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SONO's PE is 25x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SONO Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SONO to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SONO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SONO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$23.82
Downside-24%$13.80

Calculated from the latest close: $18.11 on Nov 12.

SONO trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

SONO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.16Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.46Q4 2026: $0.72
Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.16Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.46Q4 2026: $0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.72+$1.23

SONO has the edge over AAOI in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over SONO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SONO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $551MQ1 2025: $260MQ2 2025: $345MQ3 2025: $288MQ4 2025: $546MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $375MQ4 2026: $344M
Q4 2024: $551MQ1 2025: $260MQ2 2025: $345MQ3 2025: $288MQ4 2025: $546MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $375MQ4 2026: $344M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$344.4M+20%
Q2 2026$375.3M+8.8%
Q1 2026$281.5M+8.4%
Q4 2025$545.7M-0.9%

SONO's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $344M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

SONO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: −$65MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $157MQ1 2026: −$70MQ2 2026: $40MQ4 2026: --
Q4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: −$65MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $157MQ1 2026: −$70MQ2 2026: $40MQ4 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$40.3M+23%
Q1 2026-$70.2M-$4.9M
Q4 2025$157.3M+10%

SONO and AAOI do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

SONO Total Shares

Q4 2024: 125MQ1 2025: 120MQ2 2025: 120MQ3 2025: 121MQ4 2025: 125MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 121M
Q4 2024: 125MQ1 2025: 120MQ2 2025: 120MQ3 2025: 121MQ4 2025: 125MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 121M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+773K shares
1 year+0.5%+559K shares

SONO has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SONO Net Leverage

Q3 2025: -14.7xQ4 2025: -5.2xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.8x
Q3 2025: -14.7xQ4 2025: -5.2xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-14.7xNet Cash

SONO has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

SONO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.6Neutral
Stochastic58.7Neutral

SONO's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SONO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSONOSector medianRelative
PE25x28x9.7% below
PE %33352 pts below

SONO is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

SONO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.34.4% above
20 week MA$16.013% above
50 week MA$15.616% above
100 week MA$14.327% above
200 week MA$14.921% above

SONO has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over SONO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SONO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.0$24.4+63%
2021$24.4$29.9+22%
2022$29.9$17.0-43%
2023$17.0$17.1+0.8%
2024$17.1$15.0-12%
2025$15.0$18.1+20%
2026 YTD$18.1$18.1+0.2%

SONO has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.

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