AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
PRCH
Porch Group, Inc.
PRCH has a slight edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
PRCH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
PRCH's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
PRCH PE Valuation
PRCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 64x next year's earnings.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PRCH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect PRCH to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
PRCH has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 112% for AAOI versus PRCH down 54%.
PRCH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.33 | +7.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.31 | +$0.99 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.53 | +$1.39 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.12 | +$1.00 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.33 | +$1.06 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.68 | +$1.06 |
| Q2 2024 | -$0.86 | +$1.70 |
| Q1 2024 | -$1.12 | +$0.80 |
| Q4 2023 | -$1.39 | +$0.18 |
PRCH has returned to profit: it earned $0.31 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over PRCH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
PRCH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $143.9M | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $140.9M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $121.1M | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $140.3M | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.1M | +6.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $119.3M | +7.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $104.7M | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.4M | -12% |
PRCH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $144M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | -2.9% | -7.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.8% | +11 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -13 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +16 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.2% | +52 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.2% | +29 points |
| Q4 2024 | 25% | +19 points |
PRCH has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
PRCH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $59.2M | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $40.9M | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $12.8M | +$24.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1M | +$27.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $40.7M | +234% |
| Q2 2025 | $35.4M | +$61.4M |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.2M | -233% |
| Q4 2024 | -$26.8M | +$14.3M |
PRCH has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
PRCH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4.6% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -4.1% | -5.4M shares |
| 3 years | +32% | +30.6M shares |
| 5 years | +33% | +31.1M shares |
PRCH has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $2.5M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
PRCH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.3x | High |
PRCH's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.5 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
PRCH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 71.1 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 82.5 | Overbought |
PRCH's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PRCH PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PRCH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
PRCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
PRCH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $18.5 | 15% above |
| 20 week MA | $16.8 | 27% above |
| 50 week MA | $12.1 | 76% above |
| 100 week MA | $11.2 | 91% above |
| 200 week MA | $6.59 | 223% above |
PRCH has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.
PRCH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.0 | $15.0 | +50% |
| 2021 | $15.0 | $17.8 | +19% |
| 2022 | $17.8 | $1.70 | -90% |
| 2023 | $1.70 | $3.08 | +81% |
| 2024 | $3.08 | $5.44 | +77% |
| 2025 | $5.44 | $8.93 | +64% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.93 | $21.3 | +139% |
PRCH has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.