AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

EXFY

Expensify, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score EXFY yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

EXFY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Unavailable
Strong

EXFY's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

EXFY PE Valuation

EXFY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over EXFY on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

EXFY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect EXFY's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and EXFY's risk to reward.

EXFY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.86 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and EXFY's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

EXFY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.50Q1 2024: $-0.47Q2 2024: $-0.36Q3 2024: $-0.17Q4 2024: $-0.12Q1 2025: $-0.11Q2 2025: $-0.18Q3 2025: $-0.19Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.22Q2 2026: $-0.16Q3 2026: $-0.17Forward: $0.09
Q4 2023: $-0.50Q1 2024: $-0.47Q2 2024: $-0.36Q3 2024: $-0.17Q4 2024: $-0.12Q1 2025: $-0.11Q2 2025: $-0.18Q3 2025: $-0.19Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.22Q2 2026: $-0.16Q3 2026: $-0.17Forward: $0.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.09โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.17+$0.02
Q2 2026-$0.16+$0.02
Q1 2026-$0.22-$0.11
Q4 2025-$0.23-$0.11
Q3 2025-$0.19-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.18+$0.18
Q1 2025-$0.11+$0.36
Q4 2024-$0.12+$0.38

EXFY has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over EXFY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EXFY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $33MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $33MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$33M-5.8%
Q2 2026$33.9M-5.3%
Q1 2026$34M-5.8%
Q4 2025$35.2M-4.9%
Q3 2025$35.1M-1%
Q2 2025$35.8M+7.4%
Q1 2025$36.1M+7.6%
Q4 2024$37M+5.1%

EXFY's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $33M last quarter, down 5.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

EXFY has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 24% versus its history, compared with AAOI at down 676%.

EXFY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$824,000Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $118,000Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$824,000Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $118,000Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.8M-9.1%
Q1 2026$118K-98%
Q4 2025$2.2M-70%
Q3 2025$4.2M+13%
Q1 2025$4.8M+38%
Q4 2024$7.4M+$8.2M
Q3 2024$3.7M+$9.4M
Q2 2024$9.3M+$10.2M

EXFY still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $10M over the past year.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

EXFY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 87MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 92MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 93MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 92M
Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 87MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 92MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 93MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 92M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.1%-3.9M shares
1 year-1.1%-1M shares
3 years+11%+9.1M shares
5 years+165%+57M shares
Available history+13%+10.5M shares

EXFY has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

EXFY Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -8.1xQ1 2025: -8.7x
Q4 2024: -8.1xQ1 2025: -8.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2025-8.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-8.1xNet Cash
Q3 2021-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 20210.2xVery low
Q1 20210.6xVery low
Q4 20202.1xModerate
Q1 2020-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 201927.5xHigh

EXFY has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

EXFY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic32.6Neutral

EXFY's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EXFY PE vs Technology Sector

EXFY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

EXFY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.2718% below
20 week MA$2.2015% below
50 week MA$1.6116% above
100 week MA$2.069.7% below
200 week MA$3.0138% below

EXFY's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 38% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over EXFY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

EXFY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$47.6$36.9-22%
2022$36.9$8.61-77%
2023$8.61$2.47-71%
2024$2.47$3.47+40%
2025$3.47$1.55-55%
2026 YTD$1.55$1.86+20%

EXFY has finished lower in four of the last five years. It's up 20% so far in 2026.

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