AAL

American Airlines Group Inc.

47
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

AAL trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over AAL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

AAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

AAL's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AAL PE Valuation

AAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT's PE is in its cheap range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

AAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAL's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

VRT has the edge over AAL on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

AAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$18.69
Downside-28%$9.55

Calculated from the latest close: $13.31 on Nov 12.

AAL trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.21Q1 2024: $0.71Q2 2024: $-0.16Q3 2024: $0.44Q4 2024: $1.24Q1 2025: $1.00Q2 2025: $0.90Q3 2025: $0.96Q4 2025: $0.17Q1 2026: $0.31Q2 2026: $-0.49Q3 2026: $-0.73
Q4 2023: $1.21Q1 2024: $0.71Q2 2024: $-0.16Q3 2024: $0.44Q4 2024: $1.24Q1 2025: $1.00Q2 2025: $0.90Q3 2025: $0.96Q4 2025: $0.17Q1 2026: $0.31Q2 2026: $-0.49Q3 2026: $-0.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.73-176%
Q2 2026-$0.49-154%
Q1 2026$0.31-69%
Q4 2025$0.17-86%
Q3 2025$0.96+118%
Q2 2025$0.90+$1.06
Q1 2025$1.00+41%
Q4 2024$1.24+2.5%

AAL has swung to a loss: it lost $0.73 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over AAL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.1BQ1 2024: $12.6BQ2 2024: $14.3BQ3 2024: $13.6BQ4 2024: $13.7BQ1 2025: $12.6BQ2 2025: $14.4BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $14BQ1 2026: $13.9BQ2 2026: $16.7BQ3 2026: $16.3B
Q4 2023: $13.1BQ1 2024: $12.6BQ2 2024: $14.3BQ3 2024: $13.6BQ4 2024: $13.7BQ1 2025: $12.6BQ2 2025: $14.4BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $14BQ1 2026: $13.9BQ2 2026: $16.7BQ3 2026: $16.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.3B+19%
Q2 2026$16.7B+16%
Q1 2026$13.9B+11%
Q4 2025$14B+2.5%
Q3 2025$13.7B+0.3%
Q2 2025$14.4B+0.4%
Q1 2025$12.6B-0.2%
Q4 2024$13.7B+4.6%

AAL's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $16.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT has the edge over AAL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.2BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $477MQ3 2024: −$191MQ4 2024: −$342MQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $464MQ3 2025: −$872MQ4 2025: −$1.9BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: −$351MQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: −$2.2BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $477MQ3 2024: −$191MQ4 2024: −$342MQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $464MQ3 2025: −$872MQ4 2025: −$1.9BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: −$351MQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$376M
Q2 2026-$351M-176%
Q1 2026$3.4B+109%
Q4 2025-$1.9B-$1.6B
Q3 2025-$872M-$681M
Q2 2025$464M-2.7%
Q1 2025$1.6B+20%
Q4 2024-$342M+$1.9B

AAL has burned cash in most quarters: −$91M over the past year, against $882M the year before.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over AAL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 720MQ1 2024: 656MQ2 2024: 720MQ3 2024: 657MQ4 2024: 721MQ1 2025: 659MQ2 2025: 660MQ3 2025: 660MQ4 2025: 661MQ1 2026: 661MQ2 2026: 663MQ3 2026: 663M
Q4 2023: 720MQ1 2024: 656MQ2 2024: 720MQ3 2024: 657MQ4 2024: 721MQ1 2025: 659MQ2 2025: 660MQ3 2025: 660MQ4 2025: 661MQ1 2026: 661MQ2 2026: 663MQ3 2026: 663M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+93K shares
1 year+0.4%+2.3M shares
3 years+1.3%+8.6M shares
5 years-8.1%-58.4M shares
Available history+52%+227M shares

AAL has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AAL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 7.0xQ2 2024: 8.3xQ3 2024: 7.6xQ4 2024: 6.5xQ1 2025: 6.7xQ2 2025: 7.2xQ3 2025: 6.8xQ4 2025: 8.3xQ1 2026: 7.4xQ2 2026: 9.6xQ3 2026: 9.8x
Q4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 7.0xQ2 2024: 8.3xQ3 2024: 7.6xQ4 2024: 6.5xQ1 2025: 6.7xQ2 2025: 7.2xQ3 2025: 6.8xQ4 2025: 8.3xQ1 2026: 7.4xQ2 2026: 9.6xQ3 2026: 9.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20269.8xHigh
Q2 20269.6xHigh
Q1 20267.4xHigh
Q4 20258.3xHigh
Q3 20256.8xHigh
Q2 20257.2xHigh
Q1 20256.7xHigh
Q4 20246.5xHigh

AAL's net debt is about 9.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.8 years a year ago.

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has the edge over AAL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.8Neutral
Stochastic28.9Neutral

AAL's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

AAL PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAALSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

AAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

AAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.83.7% above
20 week MA$14.04.8% below
50 week MA$13.83.3% below
100 week MA$13.30.2% below
200 week MA$13.61.8% below

AAL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 1.8% below its 200-week average.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has the edge over AAL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.4$15.7-45%
2021$15.7$18.3+17%
2022$18.3$12.7-30%
2023$12.7$13.7+8.1%
2024$13.7$17.4+26%
2025$17.4$15.4-11%
2026 YTD$15.4$13.3-14%

AAL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT has the edge over AAL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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