AAL

American Airlines Group Inc.

47
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

AAL lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to grow, though they disagree widely on how much.

AAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

AAL's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

AAL PE Valuation

AAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAL's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$18.69
Downside-28%$9.55

Calculated from the latest close: $13.31 on Nov 12.

AAL's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +40% against −28%.

AAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.21Q1 2024: $0.71Q2 2024: $-0.16Q3 2024: $0.44Q4 2024: $1.24Q1 2025: $1.00Q2 2025: $0.90Q3 2025: $0.96Q4 2025: $0.17Q1 2026: $0.31Q2 2026: $-0.49Q3 2026: $-0.73
Q4 2023: $1.21Q1 2024: $0.71Q2 2024: $-0.16Q3 2024: $0.44Q4 2024: $1.24Q1 2025: $1.00Q2 2025: $0.90Q3 2025: $0.96Q4 2025: $0.17Q1 2026: $0.31Q2 2026: $-0.49Q3 2026: $-0.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.73-176%
Q2 2026-$0.49-154%
Q1 2026$0.31-69%
Q4 2025$0.17-86%
Q3 2025$0.96+118%
Q2 2025$0.90+$1.06
Q1 2025$1.00+41%
Q4 2024$1.24+2.5%

AAL has swung to a loss: it lost $0.73 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.1BQ1 2024: $12.6BQ2 2024: $14.3BQ3 2024: $13.6BQ4 2024: $13.7BQ1 2025: $12.6BQ2 2025: $14.4BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $14BQ1 2026: $13.9BQ2 2026: $16.7BQ3 2026: $16.3B
Q4 2023: $13.1BQ1 2024: $12.6BQ2 2024: $14.3BQ3 2024: $13.6BQ4 2024: $13.7BQ1 2025: $12.6BQ2 2025: $14.4BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $14BQ1 2026: $13.9BQ2 2026: $16.7BQ3 2026: $16.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.3B+19%
Q2 2026$16.7B+16%
Q1 2026$13.9B+11%
Q4 2025$14B+2.5%
Q3 2025$13.7B+0.3%
Q2 2025$14.4B+0.4%
Q1 2025$12.6B-0.2%
Q4 2024$13.7B+4.6%

AAL's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $16.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.2BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $477MQ3 2024: −$191MQ4 2024: −$342MQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $464MQ3 2025: −$872MQ4 2025: −$1.9BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: −$351MQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: −$2.2BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $477MQ3 2024: −$191MQ4 2024: −$342MQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $464MQ3 2025: −$872MQ4 2025: −$1.9BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: −$351MQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$376M
Q2 2026-$351M-176%
Q1 2026$3.4B+109%
Q4 2025-$1.9B-$1.6B
Q3 2025-$872M-$681M
Q2 2025$464M-2.7%
Q1 2025$1.6B+20%
Q4 2024-$342M+$1.9B

AAL has burned cash in most quarters: −$91M over the past year, against $882M the year before.

AAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 720MQ1 2024: 656MQ2 2024: 720MQ3 2024: 657MQ4 2024: 721MQ1 2025: 659MQ2 2025: 660MQ3 2025: 660MQ4 2025: 661MQ1 2026: 661MQ2 2026: 663MQ3 2026: 663M
Q4 2023: 720MQ1 2024: 656MQ2 2024: 720MQ3 2024: 657MQ4 2024: 721MQ1 2025: 659MQ2 2025: 660MQ3 2025: 660MQ4 2025: 661MQ1 2026: 661MQ2 2026: 663MQ3 2026: 663M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+93K shares
1 year+0.4%+2.3M shares
3 years+1.3%+8.6M shares
5 years-8.1%-58.4M shares
Available history+52%+227M shares

AAL has 663M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AAL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 7.0xQ2 2024: 8.3xQ3 2024: 7.6xQ4 2024: 6.5xQ1 2025: 6.7xQ2 2025: 7.2xQ3 2025: 6.8xQ4 2025: 8.3xQ1 2026: 7.4xQ2 2026: 9.6xQ3 2026: 9.8x
Q4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 7.0xQ2 2024: 8.3xQ3 2024: 7.6xQ4 2024: 6.5xQ1 2025: 6.7xQ2 2025: 7.2xQ3 2025: 6.8xQ4 2025: 8.3xQ1 2026: 7.4xQ2 2026: 9.6xQ3 2026: 9.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20269.8xHigh
Q2 20269.6xHigh
Q1 20267.4xHigh
Q4 20258.3xHigh
Q3 20256.8xHigh
Q2 20257.2xHigh
Q1 20256.7xHigh
Q4 20246.5xHigh

AAL's net debt is about 9.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.8 years a year ago.

AAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.8Neutral
Stochastic28.9Neutral

AAL's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

AAL PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAALSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

AAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.83.7% above
20 week MA$14.04.8% below
50 week MA$13.83.3% below
100 week MA$13.30.2% below
200 week MA$13.61.8% below

AAL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 1.8% below its 200-week average.

AAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.4$15.7-45%
2021$15.7$18.3+17%
2022$18.3$12.7-30%
2023$12.7$13.7+8.1%
2024$13.7$17.4+26%
2025$17.4$15.4-11%
2026 YTD$15.4$13.3-14%

AAL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

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