XOM

Exxon Mobil Corporation

62
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

XOM's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 19%, while free cash flow grew 9.9%. At 17x earnings, it's trading above its usual 14x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

XOM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Unavailable
Strong

XOM's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

XOM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x70x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x70x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.5x$92.64-45%
Forward12x$170—
Fair14x$141-17%
Current17x$170—
Expensive21x$208+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

XOM's PE is in its expensive range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

XOM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for XOM, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

XOM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$208.70
Downside-17%$140.35

Calculated from the latest close: $169.78 on Nov 12.

XOM's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +23% against −17%.

XOM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.89Q1 2024: $8.16Q2 2024: $8.36Q3 2024: $8.03Q4 2024: $7.84Q1 2025: $7.54Q2 2025: $7.04Q3 2025: $6.88Q4 2025: $6.70Q1 2026: $5.94Q2 2026: $7.78Q3 2026: $9.74Forward: $14.02
Q4 2023: $8.89Q1 2024: $8.16Q2 2024: $8.36Q3 2024: $8.03Q4 2024: $7.84Q1 2025: $7.54Q2 2025: $7.04Q3 2025: $6.88Q4 2025: $6.70Q1 2026: $5.94Q2 2026: $7.78Q3 2026: $9.74Forward: $14.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$14.02+44%
Q3 2026$9.74+42%
Q2 2026$7.78+11%
Q1 2026$5.94-21%
Q4 2025$6.70-15%
Q3 2025$6.88-14%
Q2 2025$7.04-16%
Q1 2025$7.54-7.6%
Q4 2024$7.84-12%

XOM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $9.74 over the past year, against $14.77 in early 2023.

XOM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $84.3BQ1 2024: $83.1BQ2 2024: $93.1BQ3 2024: $90BQ4 2024: $83.4BQ1 2025: $83.1BQ2 2025: $81.5BQ3 2025: $85.3BQ4 2025: $82.3BQ1 2026: $85.1BQ2 2026: $116BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $84.3BQ1 2024: $83.1BQ2 2024: $93.1BQ3 2024: $90BQ4 2024: $83.4BQ1 2025: $83.1BQ2 2025: $81.5BQ3 2025: $85.3BQ4 2025: $82.3BQ1 2026: $85.1BQ2 2026: $116BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$113.2B+33%
Q2 2026$116B+42%
Q1 2026$85.1B+2.4%
Q4 2025$82.3B-1.3%
Q3 2025$85.3B-5.2%
Q2 2025$81.5B-12%
Q1 2025$83.1B+0.1%
Q4 2024$83.4B-1.1%

XOM's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $113B last quarter, up 33% from the same quarter a year ago.

XOM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.5BQ1 2024: $9.6BQ2 2024: $4.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $5.4BQ1 2025: $7.1BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $6.1BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: $18.5B
Q4 2023: $7.5BQ1 2024: $9.6BQ2 2024: $4.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $5.4BQ1 2025: $7.1BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $6.1BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: $18.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.5B+205%
Q1 2026$2.2B-68%
Q4 2025$5.2B-3%
Q3 2025$6.1B-47%
Q2 2025$5.3B+22%
Q1 2025$7.1B-26%
Q4 2024$5.4B-28%
Q3 2024$11.4B+3.3%

XOM still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $32B over the past year.

XOM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.1BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4.1BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-34M shares
1 year-3.4%-145M shares
3 years+2.9%+115M shares
5 years-3.2%-136M shares
Available history-3%-130M shares

XOM has 4.1B diluted shares, down 3.4% from a year ago.

XOM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

XOM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

XOM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.7Neutral
Stochastic61.5Neutral

XOM's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 61 (neutral).

XOM PE vs Energy Sector

MetricXOMSector medianRelative
PE17x13x33% above
PE %726111 pts above

XOM is trading at 17x earnings, a 33% premium to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

XOM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$172.31.5% below
20 week MA$161.94.9% above
50 week MA$150.713% above
100 week MA$130.530% above
200 week MA$120.840% above

XOM's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 40% above its 200-week average.

XOM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$69.9$41.6-40%
2021$41.6$61.0+47%
2022$61.0$108.7+78%
2023$108.7$100.0-8%
2024$100.0$106.5+6.5%
2025$106.5$119.1+12%
2026 YTD$119.1$169.8+43%

XOM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 43% so far in 2026.

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