XEL

Xcel Energy Inc.

52
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

XEL's fundamentals are mixed: its operating margin rose 5 points to 22%, but free cash flow was negative. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

XEL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Weak
Weak

XEL's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

XEL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.3x15x22x29x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.3x15x22x29x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$82.36+1.1%
Current19x$81.50—
Forward19x$81.50—
Fair22x$95.70+17%
Expensive25x$106+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

XEL's PE is 19x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

XEL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for XEL, but weaker profitability.

XEL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$94.40
Downside-13%$70.95

Calculated from the latest close: $81.50 on Nov 12.

XEL's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +16% against −13%.

XEL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.21Q1 2024: $3.33Q2 2024: $3.35Q3 2024: $3.37Q4 2024: $3.44Q1 2025: $3.40Q2 2025: $3.61Q3 2025: $3.28Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.47Q2 2026: $3.65Q3 2026: $4.29Forward: $4.40
Q4 2023: $3.21Q1 2024: $3.33Q2 2024: $3.35Q3 2024: $3.37Q4 2024: $3.44Q1 2025: $3.40Q2 2025: $3.61Q3 2025: $3.28Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.47Q2 2026: $3.65Q3 2026: $4.29Forward: $4.40
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.40+2.5%
Q3 2026$4.29+31%
Q2 2026$3.65+1.1%
Q1 2026$3.47+2.1%
Q4 2025$3.42-0.6%
Q3 2025$3.28-2.7%
Q2 2025$3.61+7.8%
Q1 2025$3.40+2.1%
Q4 2024$3.44+7.2%

XEL earned $4.29 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

XEL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $3.6BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $3.6BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3.9BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $4.2B
Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $3.6BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $3.6BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3.9BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $4.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.2B+6.6%
Q2 2026$3.1B-5.1%
Q1 2026$4B+2.9%
Q4 2025$3.6B+14%
Q3 2025$3.9B+7.4%
Q2 2025$3.3B+8.6%
Q1 2025$3.9B+7%
Q4 2024$3.1B-9.4%

XEL's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $4.2B last quarter, up 6.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

XEL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$640MQ1 2024: −$487MQ2 2024: −$641MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$1.6BQ1 2025: −$960MQ2 2025: −$1.3BQ3 2025: −$1.3BQ4 2025: −$3.2BQ1 2026: −$1.3BQ2 2026: −$1.8BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: −$640MQ1 2024: −$487MQ2 2024: −$641MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$1.6BQ1 2025: −$960MQ2 2025: −$1.3BQ3 2025: −$1.3BQ4 2025: −$3.2BQ1 2026: −$1.3BQ2 2026: −$1.8BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B+$76M
Q2 2026-$1.8B-$502M
Q1 2026-$1.3B-$365M
Q4 2025-$3.2B-$1.7B
Q3 2025-$1.3B-$1.2B
Q2 2025-$1.3B-$705M
Q1 2025-$960M-$473M
Q4 2024-$1.6B-$913M

XEL has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$7.6B over the past year, against −$5.1B the year before.

XEL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 552MQ1 2024: 556MQ2 2024: 557MQ3 2024: 565MQ4 2024: 563MQ1 2025: 577MQ2 2025: 588MQ3 2025: 595MQ4 2025: 589MQ1 2026: 626MQ2 2026: 627MQ3 2026: 632M
Q4 2023: 552MQ1 2024: 556MQ2 2024: 557MQ3 2024: 565MQ4 2024: 563MQ1 2025: 577MQ2 2025: 588MQ3 2025: 595MQ4 2025: 589MQ1 2026: 626MQ2 2026: 627MQ3 2026: 632M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+5M shares
1 year+6.2%+37M shares
3 years+14%+80M shares
5 years+17%+93M shares
Available history+22%+112M shares

XEL has 632M diluted shares, up 6.2% from a year ago.

XEL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.3xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 5.3xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 5.6xQ1 2025: 5.8xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 6.1xQ4 2025: 6.0xQ1 2026: 6.2xQ2 2026: 6.6xQ3 2026: 6.1x
Q4 2023: 5.3xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 5.3xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 5.6xQ1 2025: 5.8xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 6.1xQ4 2025: 6.0xQ1 2026: 6.2xQ2 2026: 6.6xQ3 2026: 6.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.1xHigh
Q2 20266.6xHigh
Q1 20266.2xHigh
Q4 20256.0xHigh
Q3 20256.1xHigh
Q2 20255.7xHigh
Q1 20255.8xHigh
Q4 20245.6xHigh

XEL's net debt is about 6.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

XEL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.9Neutral
Stochastic86.9Overbought

XEL's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

XEL PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricXELSector medianRelative
PE19x20x6.9% below
PE %144430 pts below

XEL is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Utilities sector's median of 20x, though its earnings don't support one.

XEL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$76.36.8% above
20 week MA$77.25.5% above
50 week MA$78.14.4% above
100 week MA$74.98.8% above
200 week MA$68.120% above

XEL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% above its 200-week average.

XEL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$63.1$64.6+2.4%
2021$64.6$66.6+3.1%
2022$66.6$70.9+6.5%
2023$70.9$61.9-13%
2024$61.9$68.1+10%
2025$68.1$74.4+9.2%
2026 YTD$74.4$81.5+9.5%

XEL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 9.5% so far in 2026.

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