VVV

Valvoline Inc.

37
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

VVV's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 44x earnings, more than twice its usual 16x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

VVV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Unavailable

VVV's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VVV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$9.09-74%
Fair16x$12.59-64%
Forward18x$34.83—
Expensive24x$19.29-45%
Current44x$34.83—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VVV's PE is in its expensive range at 44x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

VVV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VVV, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VVV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$42.37
Downside-25%$26.05

Calculated from the latest close: $34.83 on Nov 12.

VVV's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +22% against −25%.

VVV Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.73Q4 2023: $8.51Q1 2024: $1.72Q2 2024: $1.69Q3 2024: $1.61Q4 2024: $2.08Q1 2025: $2.05Q2 2025: $2.14Q3 2025: $1.64Q4 2025: $0.67Q1 2026: $0.73Q2 2026: $0.80Forward: $1.94
Q3 2023: $8.73Q4 2023: $8.51Q1 2024: $1.72Q2 2024: $1.69Q3 2024: $1.61Q4 2024: $2.08Q1 2025: $2.05Q2 2025: $2.14Q3 2025: $1.64Q4 2025: $0.67Q1 2026: $0.73Q2 2026: $0.80Forward: $1.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.94+143%
Q2 2026$0.80-63%
Q1 2026$0.73-64%
Q4 2025$0.67-68%
Q3 2025$1.64+1.9%
Q2 2025$2.14+27%
Q1 2025$2.05+19%
Q4 2024$2.08-76%
Q3 2024$1.61-82%

VVV's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.80 over the past year, against $9.00 in early 2023.

VVV Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $390MQ4 2023: $373MQ1 2024: $389MQ2 2024: $421MQ3 2024: $436MQ4 2024: $414MQ1 2025: $403MQ2 2025: $439MQ3 2025: $454MQ4 2025: $462MQ1 2026: $504MQ2 2026: $545M
Q3 2023: $390MQ4 2023: $373MQ1 2024: $389MQ2 2024: $421MQ3 2024: $436MQ4 2024: $414MQ1 2025: $403MQ2 2025: $439MQ3 2025: $454MQ4 2025: $462MQ1 2026: $504MQ2 2026: $545M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$544.6M+24%
Q1 2026$503.8M+25%
Q4 2025$461.8M+11%
Q3 2025$453.8M+4.2%
Q2 2025$439M+4.2%
Q1 2025$403.2M+3.7%
Q4 2024$414.3M+11%
Q3 2024$435.5M+12%

VVV's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $545M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

VVV Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$47MQ4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $67M
Q3 2023: −$47MQ4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $67M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$67.3M+110%
Q1 2026$37.6M+$42.2M
Q4 2025$7.4M+$19.8M
Q3 2025$23M-23%
Q2 2025$32M+227%
Q1 2025-$4.6M-120%
Q4 2024-$12.4M+$10M
Q3 2024$29.9M+$76.9M

VVV still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $135M over the past year.

VVV Total Shares

Q3 2023: 163MQ4 2023: 133MQ1 2024: 131MQ2 2024: 130MQ3 2024: 131MQ4 2024: 130MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 128MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 128M
Q3 2023: 163MQ4 2023: 133MQ1 2024: 131MQ2 2024: 130MQ3 2024: 131MQ4 2024: 130MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 128MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 128M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.2%+200K shares
3 years-21%-34.1M shares
5 years-30%-54.6M shares
Available history-32%-60.6M shares

VVV has 128M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

VVV Net Leverage

VVV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.4Neutral
Stochastic61.8Neutral

VVV's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

VVV PE vs Energy Sector

MetricVVVSector medianRelative
PE44x13x232% above
PE %936132 pts above

VVV is trading at 44x earnings, a 232% premium to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

VVV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.99.4% above
20 week MA$33.73.2% above
50 week MA$33.92.7% above
100 week MA$34.90.2% below
200 week MA$36.54.7% below

VVV has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 4.7% below its 200-week average.

VVV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.3$23.5+10%
2021$23.5$35.8+52%
2022$35.8$32.3-9.6%
2023$32.3$37.6+16%
2024$37.6$36.4-3.2%
2025$36.4$30.1-17%
2026 YTD$30.1$34.8+16%

VVV has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 16% so far in 2026.

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