VMC

Vulcan Materials Company

57
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

VMC's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 9.8% of its revenue into free cash flow, while its operating margin held steady at 20%. At 33x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 36x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

VMC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Stable

VMC's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

VMC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward29x$280—
Cheap32x$267-4.6%
Current33x$280—
Fair36x$306+9.2%
Expensive41x$342+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VMC's PE is in its cheap range at 33x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings.

VMC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect VMC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VMC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$341.23
Downside-12%$246.51

Calculated from the latest close: $280.18 on Nov 12.

VMC's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +22% against −12%.

VMC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.98Q1 2024: $6.85Q2 2024: $6.85Q3 2024: $6.34Q4 2024: $6.85Q1 2025: $7.05Q2 2025: $7.16Q3 2025: $8.42Q4 2025: $8.11Q1 2026: $8.40Q2 2026: $8.46Q3 2026: $8.44Forward: $9.59
Q4 2023: $6.98Q1 2024: $6.85Q2 2024: $6.85Q3 2024: $6.34Q4 2024: $6.85Q1 2025: $7.05Q2 2025: $7.16Q3 2025: $8.42Q4 2025: $8.11Q1 2026: $8.40Q2 2026: $8.46Q3 2026: $8.44Forward: $9.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.59+14%
Q3 2026$8.44+0.2%
Q2 2026$8.46+18%
Q1 2026$8.40+19%
Q4 2025$8.11+18%
Q3 2025$8.42+33%
Q2 2025$7.16+4.5%
Q1 2025$7.05+2.9%
Q4 2024$6.85-1.9%

VMC earned $8.44 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

VMC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B-4.7%
Q2 2026$2.2B+2.5%
Q1 2026$1.8B+7.4%
Q4 2025$1.9B+3.2%
Q3 2025$2.3B+14%
Q2 2025$2.1B+4.4%
Q1 2025$1.6B+5.8%
Q4 2024$1.9B+1.1%

VMC's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $2.2B last quarter, down 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

VMC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $498MQ4 2024: $278MQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $239MQ3 2025: $455MQ4 2025: $358MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $209M
Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $498MQ4 2024: $278MQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $239MQ3 2025: $455MQ4 2025: $358MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $209M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$208.8M-54%
Q2 2026$149.6M-37%
Q1 2026$64.6M-23%
Q4 2025$358.2M+29%
Q3 2025$454.8M-8.7%
Q2 2025$238.8M+2362%
Q1 2025$83.5M+305%
Q4 2024$277.6M+0.8%

VMC generated $781M in free cash flow over the past year, down 26% from the year before.

VMC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 134MQ1 2024: 133MQ2 2024: 133MQ3 2024: 133MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 133MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 133MQ1 2026: 131MQ2 2026: 130MQ3 2026: 130M
Q4 2023: 134MQ1 2024: 133MQ2 2024: 133MQ3 2024: 133MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 133MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 133MQ1 2026: 131MQ2 2026: 130MQ3 2026: 130M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-800K shares
1 year-2.6%-3.4M shares
3 years-3.1%-4.2M shares
5 years-3%-4M shares
Available history-2.9%-3.9M shares

VMC has 130M diluted shares, down 2.6% from a year ago, with $1.2B in buybacks over the past year.

VMC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.8xHealthy
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20253.0xElevated
Q4 20242.4xModerate

VMC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.8 years a year ago.

VMC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.9Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

VMC's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

VMC PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricVMCSector medianRelative
PE33x19x78% above
PE %234017 pts below

VMC is trading at 33x earnings, a 78% premium to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

VMC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$262.06.9% above
20 week MA$270.23.7% above
50 week MA$283.11% below
100 week MA$276.61.3% above
200 week MA$252.611% above

VMC's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 11% above its 200-week average.

VMC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$143.9$143.2-0.5%
2021$143.2$206.4+44%
2022$206.4$175.2-15%
2023$175.2$227.0+30%
2024$227.0$262.4+16%
2025$262.4$294.2+12%
2026 YTD$294.2$280.2-4.8%

VMC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 4.8% so far in 2026.

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