VIST
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.
VIST's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 7.7x earnings, below its usual 9.3x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.
VIST Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
VIST's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
VIST PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $49.35 | -11% |
| Current | 7.7x | $55.49 | — |
| Fair | 9.3x | $66.69 | +20% |
| Expensive | 12x | $89.31 | +61% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VIST's PE is in its cheap range at 7.7x.
VIST Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VIST, with profitability improving.
VIST Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.19 | +5.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.57 | +36% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.83 | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.67 | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.79 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.55 | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.78 | +39% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.75 | +20% |
VIST's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.19 over the past year, up 5.9% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.
VIST Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | +83% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +102% |
| Q1 2026 | $865M | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $719.1M | +53% |
| Q3 2025 | $706.1M | +53% |
| Q2 2025 | $610.5M | +54% |
| Q1 2025 | $438.5M | +38% |
| Q4 2024 | $471.3M | +37% |
VIST's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $1.3B last quarter, up 83% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -32 points |
| Q2 2026 | 44% | -15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 25% | -7.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 30% | +2.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 76% | +35 points |
| Q2 2025 | 59% | +15 points |
| Q1 2025 | 32% | -8.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 27% | -24 points |
VIST's operating margin was 44% last quarter, down 32 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VIST Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $341.5M | +$373.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $484.8M | +$990.7M |
| Q1 2026 | -$252.6M | -$30.9M |
| Q4 2025 | -$62.5M | -199% |
| Q3 2025 | -$31.6M | +$42.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$505.9M | -6817% |
| Q1 2025 | -$221.6M | -$126.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $63M | -44% |
VIST's free cash flow has turned positive after three years mostly in the red: $511M over the past year.
VIST Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.9% | +2.1M shares |
| 1 year | +7.3% | +7.9M shares |
| 3 years | +15% | +15.5M shares |
| 5 years | +23% | +21.8M shares |
| Available history | +34% | +29.5M shares |
VIST has 117M diluted shares, up 7.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $55.4M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $160,979 |
| Q3 2025 | $50M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
VIST spent $56M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
VIST Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.7x | Very low |
VIST's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.5 years a year ago.
VIST Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.6 | Oversold |
VIST's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
VIST PE vs Energy Sector
| Metric | VIST | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.7x | 13x | 41% below |
| PE % | 29 | 61 | 32 pts below |
VIST is trading at 7.7x earnings, a 41% discount to the Energy sector's median of 13x.
VIST Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $66.0 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $67.7 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $64.4 | 14% below |
| 100 week MA | $55.4 | 0.1% above |
| 200 week MA | $44.8 | 24% above |
VIST has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 24% above its 200-week average.
VIST Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.72 | $2.60 | -66% |
| 2021 | $2.60 | $5.10 | +96% |
| 2022 | $5.10 | $15.9 | +211% |
| 2023 | $15.9 | $29.5 | +86% |
| 2024 | $29.5 | $54.2 | +84% |
| 2025 | $54.2 | $47.5 | -12% |
| 2026 YTD | $47.5 | $55.5 | +17% |
VIST's yearly returns have swung widely, from +211% in 2022 to −66% in 2020. It's up 17% so far in 2026.