UNP
Union Pacific Corporation
UNP has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co
VRT has the edge over UNP overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
UNP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
UNP's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
VRT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
UNP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 19x | $244 | -20% |
| Fair | 22x | $279 | -8.4% |
| Forward | 22x | $304 | — |
| Current | 24x | $304 | — |
| Expensive | 25x | $323 | +6.1% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UNP's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
VRT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 23x | $210 | — |
| Current | 39x | $210 | — |
| Cheap | 58x | $308 | +47% |
| Fair | 72x | $383 | +83% |
| Expensive | 88x | $472 | +125% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VRT has the edge over UNP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
UNP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UNP, with profitability improving.
VRT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.
UNP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $14.04 | +9.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.84 | +9.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.36 | +7.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $12.15 | +9.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.98 | +8% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.77 | +8.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.51 | +8.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.10 | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.09 | +6.1% |
UNP's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.84 over the past year, up 9.1% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.
VRT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.14 | +71% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.35 | +102% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.98 | +131% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.41 | +166% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.65 | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.09 | +62% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.72 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.28 | +7.6% |
VRT has the edge over UNP on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
UNP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.2B | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.9B | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.2B | +3.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.1B | -0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.2B | +2.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.2B | +2.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $6B | -0.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.1B | -0.6% |
UNP's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $7.2B last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 41% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 40% | -0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 40% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 39% | -1.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 41% | +1.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | +1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 39% | 0 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +2.2 points |
UNP has the edge over VRT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
VRT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +26% |
VRT has the edge over UNP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +4.2 points |
VRT's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 3.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
UNP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.8B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.2B | +58% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.5B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | -14% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B | -1.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +27% |
UNP's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $6.7B over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
VRT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $654.9M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $926.5M | +233% |
| Q1 2026 | $654.2M | +145% |
| Q4 2025 | $885.6M | +143% |
| Q3 2025 | $463.5M | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $277.9M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $266.8M | +162% |
| Q4 2024 | $364.5M | +18% |
VRT has the edge over UNP on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
UNP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +500K shares |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +1.3M shares |
| 3 years | -2.5% | -15.3M shares |
| 5 years | -8.6% | -55.8M shares |
| Available history | -16% | -112M shares |
UNP has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $26M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $674M |
UNP has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
VRT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -64.9K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +4.4M shares |
| 5 years | +10% | +36M shares |
| Available history | +63% | +152M shares |
VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | $599.9M |
UNP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5x | Moderate |
UNP's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.5 years a year ago.
VRT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
VRT has the edge over UNP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
UNP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
UNP's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
VRT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.4 | Neutral |
VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
UNP PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | UNP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.6% below |
| PE % | 74 | 58 | 16 pts above |
UNP has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.
VRT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | VRT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 24x | 63% above |
| PE % | 3 | 58 | 55 pts below |
VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
UNP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $288.8 | 5.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $291.8 | 4.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $267.3 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $247.7 | 23% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.5 | 29% above |
UNP has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
VRT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.8 | 5.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $254.4 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $253.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $189.1 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $123.5 | 70% above |
VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.
UNP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $181.4 | $203.4 | +12% |
| 2021 | $203.4 | $245.6 | +21% |
| 2022 | $245.6 | $209.9 | -15% |
| 2023 | $209.9 | $245.6 | +17% |
| 2024 | $245.6 | $229.9 | -6.4% |
| 2025 | $229.9 | $233.4 | +1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $233.4 | $304.2 | +30% |
UNP has the edge over VRT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
VRT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.9 | $18.9 | +73% |
| 2021 | $18.9 | $24.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $12.8 | -48% |
| 2023 | $12.8 | $48.0 | +275% |
| 2024 | $48.0 | $115.1 | +140% |
| 2025 | $115.1 | $167.6 | +46% |
| 2026 YTD | $167.6 | $209.6 | +25% |
VRT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +275% in 2023 to −48% in 2022. It's up 25% so far in 2026.