UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over XGN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

XGN

Exagen Inc.

54
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

XGN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

XGN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

XGN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

XGN PE Valuation

XGN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

XGN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

XGN has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than XGN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

XGN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+90%$8.36
Downside-47%$2.34

Calculated from the latest close: $4.41 on Nov 12.

XGN trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over XGN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

XGN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.34Q1 2024: $-1.09Q2 2024: $-0.97Q3 2024: $-0.94Q4 2024: $-0.83Q1 2025: $-0.84Q2 2025: $-0.89Q3 2025: $-0.92Q4 2025: $-0.93Q1 2026: $-0.90Q2 2026: $-0.82Q3 2026: $-0.76
Q4 2023: $-1.34Q1 2024: $-1.09Q2 2024: $-0.97Q3 2024: $-0.94Q4 2024: $-0.83Q1 2025: $-0.84Q2 2025: $-0.89Q3 2025: $-0.92Q4 2025: $-0.93Q1 2026: $-0.90Q2 2026: $-0.82Q3 2026: $-0.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.76+$0.16
Q2 2026-$0.82+$0.07
Q1 2026-$0.90-$0.06
Q4 2025-$0.93-$0.10
Q3 2025-$0.92+$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.89+$0.08
Q1 2025-$0.84+$0.25
Q4 2024-$0.83+$0.51

XGN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.76 per share over the past year, against $2.77 at its worst in late 2022.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

XGN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $18M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $18M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.4M+6.8%
Q2 2026$19.9M+16%
Q1 2026$17.3M+12%
Q4 2025$16.6M+22%
Q3 2025$17.2M+38%
Q2 2025$17.2M+14%
Q1 2025$15.5M+7.5%
Q4 2024$13.7M-0.8%

XGN has the edge over UNH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over XGN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

XGN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: $217,000Q1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: −$3M
Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: $217,000Q1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: −$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2.8M-204%
Q2 2026$3.4M+$6.5M
Q1 2026-$10.6M+$139K
Q4 2025-$3.1M-1509%
Q3 2025$2.7M+$5M
Q2 2025-$3.1M-$532K
Q1 2025-$10.8M-$1.7M
Q4 2024$217K-97%

XGN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$13M over the past year, against −$11M the year before.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over XGN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

XGN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 25M
Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 25M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.8%+685K shares
1 year+8.3%+1.9M shares
3 years+40%+7.2M shares
5 years+47%+7.9M shares
Available history+97%+12.3M shares

XGN has 25M diluted shares, up 8.3% from a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

XGN Net Leverage

XGN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

XGN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.3Neutral
Stochastic38.4Neutral

XGN's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

XGN PE vs Healthcare Sector

XGN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over XGN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

XGN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.3940% below
20 week MA$6.6834% below
50 week MA$5.2115% below
100 week MA$6.0527% below
200 week MA$4.234.3% above

XGN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 4.3% above its 200-week average.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over XGN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

XGN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.7$12.3-52%
2021$12.3$11.0-10%
2022$11.0$2.45-78%
2023$2.45$1.99-19%
2024$1.99$4.71+137%
2025$4.71$6.13+30%
2026 YTD$6.13$4.41-28%

XGN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +137% in 2024 to −78% in 2022. It's down 28% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key