UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over VNDA overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

VNDA

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.

46
Fundamentals31/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

VNDA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

VNDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Strong

VNDA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

VNDA PE Valuation

VNDA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VNDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

VNDA has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VNDA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VNDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$6.43
Downside-38%$2.44

Calculated from the latest close: $3.95 on Nov 12.

VNDA trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over VNDA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

VNDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.04Q1 2024: $-0.09Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.29Q4 2024: $-0.33Q1 2025: $-0.76Q2 2025: $-1.14Q3 2025: $-1.43Q4 2025: $-3.74Q1 2026: $-4.06Q2 2026: $-4.64Q3 2026: $-4.63
Q4 2023: $0.04Q1 2024: $-0.09Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.29Q4 2024: $-0.33Q1 2025: $-0.76Q2 2025: $-1.14Q3 2025: $-1.43Q4 2025: $-3.74Q1 2026: $-4.06Q2 2026: $-4.64Q3 2026: $-4.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$4.63-$3.20
Q2 2026-$4.64-$3.50
Q1 2026-$4.06-$3.30
Q4 2025-$3.74-$3.41
Q3 2025-$1.43-$1.14
Q2 2025-$1.14-$0.94
Q1 2025-$0.76-$0.67
Q4 2024-$0.33-925%

VNDA lost $4.63 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over VNDA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

VNDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $50MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $56MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $70M
Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $50MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $56MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $70M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$69.8M+24%
Q2 2026$50.5M-3.9%
Q1 2026$51.7M+3.4%
Q4 2025$57.2M+7.6%
Q3 2025$56.3M+18%
Q2 2025$52.6M+4.2%
Q1 2025$50M+5.4%
Q4 2024$53.2M+17%

VNDA's revenue is growing: $70M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over VNDA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

VNDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$34MQ2 2025: −$16MQ3 2025: −$32MQ4 2025: −$30MQ1 2026: −$50MQ2 2026: −$31MQ3 2026: −$29M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$34MQ2 2025: −$16MQ3 2025: −$32MQ4 2025: −$30MQ1 2026: −$50MQ2 2026: −$31MQ3 2026: −$29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$28.7M+$3M
Q2 2026-$31.3M-$15.7M
Q1 2026-$50.4M-$16.9M
Q4 2025-$29.5M-$27.5M
Q3 2025-$31.8M-$17M
Q2 2025-$15.6M-$8.5M
Q1 2025-$33.6M-544%
Q4 2024-$2M+$2M

VNDA has burned cash in eight of the last eight quarters: −$140M over the past year, against −$83M the year before.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over VNDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VNDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+239K shares
1 year+2.3%+1.4M shares
3 years+5%+2.9M shares
5 years+6%+3.4M shares
Available history+10%+5.6M shares

VNDA has 60M diluted shares, up 2.3% from a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

VNDA Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2023-80.1xNet Cash
Q2 2023-12.2xNet Cash
Q1 2023-18.9xNet Cash
Q4 2022-14.9xNet Cash
Q3 2022-4.5xNet Cash
Q2 2022-3.2xNet Cash
Q1 2022-2.5xNet Cash
Q4 2021-1.2xNet Cash

VNDA has more cash than debt.

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

VNDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.3Neutral
Stochastic11.2Oversold

VNDA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

VNDA PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricVNDASector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

VNDA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over VNDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VNDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.236.6% below
20 week MA$4.9220% below
50 week MA$6.1235% below
100 week MA$5.3726% below
200 week MA$5.3226% below

VNDA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% below its 200-week average.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over VNDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VNDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.8$13.3-21%
2021$13.3$18.0+35%
2022$18.0$6.87-62%
2023$6.87$4.22-39%
2024$4.22$4.81+14%
2025$4.81$7.04+46%
2026 YTD$7.04$3.95-44%

VNDA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 44% so far in 2026.

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