UNH
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
UNH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VCYT
Veracyte, Inc.
VCYT has the edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
UNH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
VCYT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
VCYT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
UNH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 18x | $405 | — |
| Cheap | 19x | $325 | -20% |
| Fair | 23x | $410 | +1.2% |
| Current | 23x | $405 | — |
| Expensive | 30x | $526 | +30% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
VCYT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 16x | $24.63 | — |
| Forward | 16x | $24.63 | — |
| Cheap | 35x | $54.07 | +120% |
| Fair | 64x | $99.04 | +302% |
| Expensive | 105x | $162 | +558% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VCYT has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
UNH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
VCYT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect VCYT's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
UNH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $22.65 | +29% |
| Q3 2026 | $17.55 | -8.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.58 | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.28 | -44% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.23 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.17 | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $23.09 | +53% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.89 | +46% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.51 | -35% |
UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.
VCYT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.52 | -1.2% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.54 | +295% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.40 | +312% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.08 | +157% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.82 | +165% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.39 | +$0.53 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.34 | +$1.08 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.42 | +$1.35 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.31 | +$1.33 |
VCYT has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
UNH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $112.7B | -0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $112B | +0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.7B | +2% |
| Q4 2025 | $113.2B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $113.2B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $111.6B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $109.6B | +9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.8B | +6.8% |
UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.8% | +2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | +2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.1% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3% | -7.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.8% | -4.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.6% | -3.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.3% | +0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.7% | -0.4 points |
UNH's operating margin was 5.8% last quarter, up 2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VCYT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $151.8M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $150.3M | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $139.1M | +21% |
| Q4 2025 | $140.6M | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $131.9M | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $130.2M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $114.5M | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $118.6M | +21% |
VCYT has the edge over UNH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | -6.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 15% | +19 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | 26% | +23 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | +7 points |
| Q2 2025 | -4% | -8.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.5% | +7.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.5% | +40 points |
VCYT has the edge over UNH on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
UNH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | -16% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.3B | +63% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.1B | +79% |
| Q4 2025 | $160M | -89% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.1B | -61% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.3B | +6.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.6B | +1037% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5B | +$7.6B |
UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.
VCYT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $37.9M | -9.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $43M | +33% |
| Q1 2026 | $32.3M | +810% |
| Q4 2025 | $48.8M | +139% |
| Q3 2025 | $42M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $32.3M | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5M | +$14.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $20.4M | +56% |
VCYT has the edge over UNH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
UNH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -4M shares |
| 1 year | -0.7% | -6M shares |
| 3 years | -3.6% | -34M shares |
| 5 years | -5.5% | -53M shares |
| Available history | -6.6% | -64M shares |
UNH has the edge over VCYT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $3B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
UNH spent $5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 52% from the year before.
VCYT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.9% | +724K shares |
| 1 year | +3.9% | +3.1M shares |
| 3 years | +14% | +10M shares |
| 5 years | +19% | +13M shares |
| Available history | +69% | +33.7M shares |
VCYT has 83M diluted shares, up 3.9% from a year ago.
UNH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.4x | Healthy |
UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
VCYT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -4.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -6.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -6.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -6.0x | Net Cash |
VCYT has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
UNH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 60.0 | Neutral |
UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).
VCYT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 23.4 | Neutral |
VCYT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).
UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | UNH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 26x | 11% below |
| PE % | 47 | 29 | 18 pts above |
UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.
VCYT PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | VCYT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 26x | 38% below |
| PE % | 1 | 29 | 28 pts below |
VCYT has the edge over UNH on valuation relative to its sector.
UNH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $394.2 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $400.5 | 1.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $361.2 | 12% above |
| 100 week MA | $376.0 | 7.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $446.6 | 9.3% below |
UNH has the edge over VCYT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
VCYT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $40.8 | 40% below |
| 20 week MA | $45.0 | 45% below |
| 50 week MA | $41.9 | 41% below |
| 100 week MA | $37.8 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.8 | 23% below |
VCYT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 23% below its 200-week average.
UNH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $296.0 | $340.8 | +15% |
| 2021 | $340.8 | $495.4 | +45% |
| 2022 | $495.4 | $531.3 | +7.3% |
| 2023 | $531.3 | $526.5 | -0.9% |
| 2024 | $526.5 | $510.0 | -3.1% |
| 2025 | $510.0 | $331.8 | -35% |
| 2026 YTD | $331.8 | $405.1 | +22% |
UNH has the edge over VCYT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
VCYT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $29.1 | $55.8 | +92% |
| 2021 | $55.8 | $40.5 | -27% |
| 2022 | $40.5 | $24.6 | -39% |
| 2023 | $24.6 | $27.5 | +12% |
| 2024 | $27.5 | $40.1 | +46% |
| 2025 | $40.1 | $42.5 | +5.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $42.5 | $24.6 | -42% |
VCYT is down 42% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.