UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over UTHR overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

UTHR

United Therapeutics Corporation

39
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation19/ 100
Upside potential22/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

UTHR trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

UTHR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

UTHR's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH has the edge over UTHR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UTHR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.8x12x17x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.8x12x17x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$321-46%
Fair16x$423-29%
Expensive19x$511-14%
Current22x$593—
Forward25x$593—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UTHR's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 25x next year's earnings.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

UNH has the edge over UTHR on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

UTHR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect UTHR's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UTHR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

UTHR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$662.86
Downside-42%$343.63

Calculated from the latest close: $593.31 on Nov 12.

UTHR trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

UTHR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $19.81Q1 2024: $21.12Q2 2024: $21.73Q3 2024: $22.74Q4 2024: $24.64Q1 2025: $25.10Q2 2025: $25.66Q3 2025: $26.43Q4 2025: $27.86Q1 2026: $27.05Q2 2026: $27.91Q3 2026: $26.46Forward: $24.18
Q4 2023: $19.81Q1 2024: $21.12Q2 2024: $21.73Q3 2024: $22.74Q4 2024: $24.64Q1 2025: $25.10Q2 2025: $25.66Q3 2025: $26.43Q4 2025: $27.86Q1 2026: $27.05Q2 2026: $27.91Q3 2026: $26.46Forward: $24.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.18-8.6%
Q3 2026$26.46+0.1%
Q2 2026$27.91+8.8%
Q1 2026$27.05+7.8%
Q4 2025$27.86+13%
Q3 2025$26.43+16%
Q2 2025$25.66+18%
Q1 2025$25.10+19%
Q4 2024$24.64+24%

UTHR has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over UTHR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UTHR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $678MQ2 2024: $715MQ3 2024: $749MQ4 2024: $736MQ1 2025: $794MQ2 2025: $799MQ3 2025: $800MQ4 2025: $790MQ1 2026: $782MQ2 2026: $783MQ3 2026: $833M
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $678MQ2 2024: $715MQ3 2024: $749MQ4 2024: $736MQ1 2025: $794MQ2 2025: $799MQ3 2025: $800MQ4 2025: $790MQ1 2026: $782MQ2 2026: $783MQ3 2026: $833M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$832.5M+4.1%
Q2 2026$783.3M-1.9%
Q1 2026$781.5M-1.6%
Q4 2025$790.2M+7.4%
Q3 2025$799.5M+6.8%
Q2 2025$798.6M+12%
Q1 2025$794.4M+17%
Q4 2024$735.9M+20%

UTHR's revenue has held roughly level: $833M last quarter, up 4.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over UTHR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UTHR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $338MQ2 2024: $187MQ3 2024: $301MQ4 2024: $255MQ1 2025: $386MQ2 2025: $130MQ3 2025: $352MQ4 2025: $173MQ1 2026: $363MQ2 2026: $206MQ3 2026: $126M
Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $338MQ2 2024: $187MQ3 2024: $301MQ4 2024: $255MQ1 2025: $386MQ2 2025: $130MQ3 2025: $352MQ4 2025: $173MQ1 2026: $363MQ2 2026: $206MQ3 2026: $126M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$125.8M-64%
Q2 2026$205.6M+59%
Q1 2026$362.5M-6.2%
Q4 2025$173.3M-32%
Q3 2025$351.6M+17%
Q2 2025$129.5M-31%
Q1 2025$386.3M+14%
Q4 2024$254.5M+253%

UTHR's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $867M over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has 902M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $5B in buybacks over the past year.

UTHR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 45M
Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-500K shares
1 year-4.2%-2M shares
3 years-8.9%-4.4M shares
5 years-4.8%-2.3M shares
Available history+3.4%+1.5M shares

UTHR has the edge over UNH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

UTHR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

UTHR has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

UTHR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.5Neutral
Stochastic80.5Overbought

UTHR's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UTHR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUTHRSector medianRelative
PE22x26x13% below
PE %1002971 pts above

UTHR has the edge over UNH on valuation relative to its sector.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

UTHR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$555.16.9% above
20 week MA$533.611% above
50 week MA$527.213% above
100 week MA$438.235% above
200 week MA$351.169% above

UTHR has the edge over UNH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over UTHR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UTHR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$88.8$149.8+69%
2021$149.8$214.0+43%
2022$214.0$278.8+30%
2023$278.8$219.9-21%
2024$219.9$360.0+64%
2025$360.0$507.2+41%
2026 YTD$507.2$593.3+17%

UTHR has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 17% so far in 2026.

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