ULCC

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.

54
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ULCC lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink, though they disagree widely on how much.

ULCC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Stable
Strong

ULCC's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability is weak.

ULCC PE Valuation

ULCC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ULCC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ULCC's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ULCC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$14.34
Downside-46%$4.16

Calculated from the latest close: $7.70 on Nov 12.

ULCC's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +86% against −46%.

ULCC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.05Q1 2024: $-0.11Q2 2024: $-0.28Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $0.37Q1 2025: $0.30Q2 2025: $-0.15Q3 2025: $-0.60Q4 2025: $-0.60Q1 2026: $-1.59Q2 2026: $-1.67Q3 2026: $-1.78
Q4 2023: $-0.05Q1 2024: $-0.11Q2 2024: $-0.28Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $0.37Q1 2025: $0.30Q2 2025: $-0.15Q3 2025: $-0.60Q4 2025: $-0.60Q1 2026: $-1.59Q2 2026: $-1.67Q3 2026: $-1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.78-$1.18
Q2 2026-$1.67-$1.52
Q1 2026-$1.59-630%
Q4 2025-$0.60-262%
Q3 2025-$0.60-$0.57
Q2 2025-$0.15+$0.13
Q1 2025$0.30+$0.41
Q4 2024$0.37+$0.42

ULCC lost $1.78 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.

ULCC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $891MQ1 2024: $865MQ2 2024: $973MQ3 2024: $935MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $912MQ2 2025: $929MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $997MQ1 2026: $992MQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $891MQ1 2024: $865MQ2 2024: $973MQ3 2024: $935MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $912MQ2 2025: $929MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $997MQ1 2026: $992MQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+53%
Q2 2026$1.3B+38%
Q1 2026$992M+8.8%
Q4 2025$997M-0.5%
Q3 2025$886M-5.2%
Q2 2025$929M-4.5%
Q1 2025$912M+5.4%
Q4 2024$1B+12%

ULCC's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $1.4B last quarter, up 53% from the same quarter a year ago.

ULCC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$68MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$170MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: −$104MQ2 2025: −$166MQ3 2025: −$217MQ4 2025: −$113MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: −$51M
Q4 2023: −$68MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: −$170MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: −$104MQ2 2025: −$166MQ3 2025: −$217MQ4 2025: −$113MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: −$51M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$51M+$166M
Q2 2026$138M+$304M
Q1 2026$28M+$132M
Q4 2025-$113M-255%
Q3 2025-$217M-$47M
Q2 2025-$166M-$144M
Q1 2025-$104M-$65M
Q4 2024$73M+$141M

ULCC's free cash flow has turned positive after six years mostly in the red: $2M over the past year.

ULCC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 220MQ1 2024: 223MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 226MQ4 2024: 226MQ1 2025: 227MQ2 2025: 228MQ3 2025: 228MQ4 2025: 228MQ1 2026: 229MQ2 2026: 230MQ3 2026: 230M
Q4 2023: 220MQ1 2024: 223MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 226MQ4 2024: 226MQ1 2025: 227MQ2 2025: 228MQ3 2025: 228MQ4 2025: 228MQ1 2026: 229MQ2 2026: 230MQ3 2026: 230M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+264K shares
1 year+0.9%+2.1M shares
3 years+4.3%+9.4M shares
5 years+5.5%+12M shares
Available history+15%+30.6M shares

ULCC has 230M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

ULCC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.0xQ1 2024: -3.4xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -3.0xQ1 2024: -3.4xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2024-3.4xNet Cash
Q4 2023-3.0xNet Cash
Q3 2023-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2023-1.8xNet Cash

ULCC has more cash than debt.

ULCC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.8Neutral
Stochastic69.0Neutral

ULCC's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

ULCC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricULCCSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

ULCC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ULCC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.1924% above
20 week MA$6.3022% above
50 week MA$5.5040% above
100 week MA$5.2846% above
200 week MA$6.0028% above

ULCC has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 28% above its 200-week average.

ULCC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$18.9$14.3-24%
2022$14.3$10.5-27%
2023$10.5$5.46-48%
2024$5.46$7.17+31%
2025$7.17$4.71-34%
2026 YTD$4.71$7.70+63%

ULCC is up 63% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in four of the previous five years.

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