UHS

Universal Health Services, Inc.

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

UHS has a slight edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

UHS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

UHS's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

UHS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.8x9.5x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.8x9.5x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8.1x$194—
Forward8.6x$194—
Cheap9.7x$231+19%
Fair12x$296+53%
Expensive15x$367+89%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UHS has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

UHS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect UHS's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UHS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$229.91
Downside-19%$156.21

Calculated from the latest close: $193.84 on Nov 12.

UHS trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UHS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

UHS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.23Q1 2024: $11.77Q2 2024: $13.61Q3 2024: $15.01Q4 2024: $16.82Q1 2025: $17.80Q2 2025: $18.97Q3 2025: $21.03Q4 2025: $23.10Q1 2026: $23.95Q2 2026: $24.50Q3 2026: $23.86Forward: $22.52
Q4 2023: $10.23Q1 2024: $11.77Q2 2024: $13.61Q3 2024: $15.01Q4 2024: $16.82Q1 2025: $17.80Q2 2025: $18.97Q3 2025: $21.03Q4 2025: $23.10Q1 2026: $23.95Q2 2026: $24.50Q3 2026: $23.86Forward: $22.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.52-5.6%
Q3 2026$23.86+13%
Q2 2026$24.50+29%
Q1 2026$23.95+35%
Q4 2025$23.10+37%
Q3 2025$21.03+40%
Q2 2025$18.97+39%
Q1 2025$17.80+51%
Q4 2024$16.82+64%

UHS has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

UHS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.9BQ3 2024: $4BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.3BQ3 2025: $4.5BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $4.5BQ2 2026: $4.6BQ3 2026: $4.7B
Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.9BQ3 2024: $4BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.3BQ3 2025: $4.5BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $4.5BQ2 2026: $4.6BQ3 2026: $4.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.7B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.6B+8.3%
Q1 2026$4.5B+9.6%
Q4 2025$4.5B+9.1%
Q3 2025$4.5B+13%
Q2 2025$4.3B+9.6%
Q1 2025$4.1B+6.7%
Q4 2024$4.1B+11%

UHS has the edge over UNH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

UHS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $246MQ1 2024: $188MQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $85MQ4 2024: $412MQ1 2025: $121MQ2 2025: $283MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $293MQ1 2026: $184MQ2 2026: $216MQ3 2026: $422M
Q4 2023: $246MQ1 2024: $188MQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $85MQ4 2024: $412MQ1 2025: $121MQ2 2025: $283MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $293MQ1 2026: $184MQ2 2026: $216MQ3 2026: $422M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$421.6M+178%
Q2 2026$215.7M-24%
Q1 2026$184.5M+52%
Q4 2025$293.5M-29%
Q3 2025$151.8M+78%
Q2 2025$283M-35%
Q1 2025$121M-36%
Q4 2024$412.5M+68%

UHS still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $1.1B over the past year.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over UHS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UHS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 70MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 68MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 65MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 59M
Q4 2023: 70MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 68MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 65MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 59M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-765K shares
1 year-7.1%-4.5M shares
3 years-15%-10.5M shares
5 years-29%-24.5M shares
Available history-34%-29.9M shares

UHS has the edge over UNH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has 902M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $5B in buybacks over the past year.

UHS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.8xHealthy
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

UHS's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.8 years a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH has the edge over UHS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UHS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.4Neutral
Stochastic71.1Neutral

UHS's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

UHS PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUHSSector medianRelative
PE8.1x26x69% below
PE %92920 pts below

UHS has the edge over UNH on valuation relative to its sector.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UHS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$183.75.5% above
20 week MA$173.612% above
50 week MA$183.25.8% above
100 week MA$185.24.7% above
200 week MA$174.611% above

UHS has the edge over UNH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

UHS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$143.4$136.9-4.5%
2021$136.9$128.1-6.4%
2022$128.1$140.8+9.9%
2023$140.8$152.4+8.3%
2024$152.4$180.5+18%
2025$180.5$227.6+26%
2026 YTD$227.6$193.8-15%

UHS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over UHS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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