UGP

Ultrapar Participações S.A.

59
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

UGP's fundamentals are strong: free cash flow more than doubled and revenue grew 12%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

UGP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

UGP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

UGP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$4.63-18%
Current9.9x$5.63—
Fair12x$6.91+23%
Expensive18x$10.54+87%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UGP's PE is 9.9x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

UGP Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for UGP to show an outlook.

UGP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$7.81
Downside-28%$4.04

Calculated from the latest close: $5.63 on Nov 12.

UGP's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +39% against −28%.

UGP Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.35Q4 2023: $0.39Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.46Q3 2024: $0.42Q4 2024: $0.38Q1 2025: $0.36Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $0.48Q4 2025: $0.40Q2 2026: $0.49Q2 2026: $0.57
Q3 2023: $0.35Q4 2023: $0.39Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.46Q3 2024: $0.42Q4 2024: $0.38Q1 2025: $0.36Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $0.48Q4 2025: $0.40Q2 2026: $0.49Q2 2026: $0.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.57+21%
Q2 2026$0.49+36%
Q4 2025$0.40+5.3%
Q3 2025$0.48+14%
Q2 2025$0.47+2.2%
Q1 2025$0.36-14%
Q4 2024$0.38-2.6%
Q3 2024$0.42+20%

UGP earned $0.57 per share over the past year, up 21% from the year before.

UGP Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $5.8BQ4 2023: $6BQ1 2024: $5.4BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.3BQ4 2024: $6.3BQ1 2025: $6BQ2 2025: $6.1BQ3 2025: $6.6BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $7.6B
Q3 2023: $5.8BQ4 2023: $6BQ1 2024: $5.4BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.3BQ4 2024: $6.3BQ1 2025: $6BQ2 2025: $6.1BQ3 2025: $6.6BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $7.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$7.6B+25%
Q2 2026$6.6B+10%
Q4 2025$6.8B+7.2%
Q3 2025$6.6B+4.7%
Q2 2025$6.1B+5.3%
Q1 2025$6B+9.7%
Q4 2024$6.3B+5.9%
Q3 2024$6.3B+8.8%

UGP's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $7.6B last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

UGP Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $286MQ4 2023: $218MQ1 2024: −$162MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $276MQ1 2025: −$68MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $190MQ2 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $600M
Q3 2023: $286MQ4 2023: $218MQ1 2024: −$162MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $276MQ1 2025: −$68MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $190MQ2 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $600M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$599.8M+663%
Q2 2026$30.6M+$98.4M
Q4 2025$190.5M-31%
Q3 2025$42.9M-34%
Q2 2025$78.6M+192%
Q1 2025-$67.8M+$94.4M
Q4 2024$276.2M+27%
Q3 2024$65.3M-77%

UGP generated $864M in free cash flow over the past year, up 145% from the year before.

UGP Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.1BQ4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1B
Q3 2023: 1.1BQ4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+1.5M shares
1 year-1.4%-15M shares
3 years-0.9%-9.9M shares
5 years+0.1%+554K shares
Available history-54%-1.3B shares

UGP has 1.1B diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

UGP Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.4xQ4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 2.4xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 1.4x
Q3 2023: 0.4xQ4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 2.4xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20252.4xModerate
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20252.4xModerate
Q1 20252.4xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate
Q3 20241.7xHealthy

UGP's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.4 years a year ago.

UGP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic4.3Oversold

UGP's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

UGP PE vs Energy Sector

MetricUGPSector medianRelative
PE9.9x13x25% below
PE %286133 pts below

UGP is trading at 9.9x earnings, a 25% discount to the Energy sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

UGP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.8618% below
20 week MA$6.6415% below
50 week MA$5.640.2% below
100 week MA$4.4427% above
200 week MA$4.2732% above

UGP has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 32% above its 200-week average.

UGP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.31$4.53-28%
2021$4.53$2.52-44%
2022$2.52$2.520%
2023$2.52$5.42+115%
2024$5.42$2.59-52%
2025$2.59$3.74+44%
2026 YTD$3.74$5.63+51%

UGP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +115% in 2023 to −52% in 2024. It's up 51% so far in 2026.

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