UCL

uCloudlink Group Inc.

46
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

UCL offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

VZ

Verizon Communications Inc.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

VZ has the edge over UCL overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

UCL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

UCL's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

VZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

VZ's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

UCL PE Valuation

UCL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$32.43-30%
Forward9x$46.55—
Fair11x$43.63-6.3%
Current12x$46.55—
Expensive14x$56.75+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VZ's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.0x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

UCL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

UCL has the edge over VZ on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

VZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VZ's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

UCL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$0.39
Downside-41%$0.13

Calculated from the latest close: $0.22 on Nov 12.

UCL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VZ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$54.56
Downside-17%$38.49

Calculated from the latest close: $46.55 on Nov 12.

VZ trails UCL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UCL Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.10Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.03Q2 2024: $0.12
Q3 2023: $0.10Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.03Q2 2024: $0.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2024$0.12+$0.27
Q1 2024$0.03+$0.36
Q4 2023$0.08+$0.74
Q3 2023$0.10+$1.27
Q2 2023-$0.15+$1.12
Q1 2023-$0.33+$1.02
Q4 2022-$0.66+$0.96
Q3 2022-$1.17+$0.35

VZ has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 20% for UCL versus VZ down 16%.

VZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.19+32%
Q3 2026$3.93-16%
Q2 2026$3.85-10%
Q1 2026$4.11-2.1%
Q4 2025$4.06-1.9%
Q3 2025$4.68+103%
Q2 2025$4.29+61%
Q1 2025$4.20+57%
Q4 2024$4.14+51%

VZ's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.93 over the past year, against $5.34 in late 2021.

UCL Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $24MQ4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $18M
Q3 2023: $24MQ4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $18M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$18.2M-5.9%
Q1 2026$16.9M-10%
Q4 2025$22.3M-14%
Q3 2025$21.2M-16%
Q2 2025$19.4M-13%
Q1 2025$18.7M+3.4%
Q4 2024$26M+19%
Q3 2024$25.2M+5.6%

UCL's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $18M last quarter, down 5.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

VZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$34.3B+1.5%
Q2 2026$34.3B-0.7%
Q1 2026$34.4B+2.9%
Q4 2025$36.4B+2%
Q3 2025$33.8B+1.5%
Q2 2025$34.5B+5.2%
Q1 2025$33.5B+1.5%
Q4 2024$35.7B+1.6%

VZ has the edge over UCL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UCL Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: −$64,000Q2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: −$9MQ2 2026: −$3M
Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: −$64,000Q2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: −$9MQ2 2026: −$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$3.1M-$2M
Q1 2026-$8.7M-$8.7M
Q4 2025$4.4M+$7.8M
Q3 2025-$1.4M-170%
Q2 2025-$1.1M-135%
Q1 2025-$64K-105%
Q4 2024-$3.5M-$80K
Q3 2024$2M+1.2%

UCL has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$9M over the past year, against −$3M the year before.

VZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.5B+2.2%
Q2 2026$10.4B+16%
Q1 2026$8B+2.6%
Q4 2025$9.1B-13%
Q3 2025$11.3B+14%
Q2 2025$9B-5.4%
Q1 2025$7.8B+9.9%
Q4 2024$10.4B+20%

VZ has the edge over UCL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

UCL Total Shares

Q3 2023: 37MQ4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38M
Q3 2023: 37MQ4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+163K shares
1 year+1.3%+478K shares
3 years+33%+9.3M shares
5 years+44%+11.6M shares

UCL has 38M diluted shares, up 1.3% from a year ago.

VZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-10M shares
1 year-1.7%-72M shares
3 years-1.3%-55M shares
5 years+0.4%+17M shares
Available history+0.5%+21M shares

VZ has the edge over UCL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UCL Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -4.0xQ4 2023: -4.4xQ1 2024: -7.9xQ2 2024: -3.4xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -1.8xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -3.1x
Q3 2023: -4.0xQ4 2023: -4.4xQ1 2024: -7.9xQ2 2024: -3.4xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -1.8xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -3.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-3.4xNet Cash
Q1 2024-7.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-4.4xNet Cash

UCL has the edge over VZ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.3xElevated
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.0xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

VZ's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago.

UCL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI19.1Oversold
Stochastic4.7Oversold

UCL's weekly RSI is 19 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

VZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic44.6Neutral

VZ's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

UCL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricUCLSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

UCL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VZ PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricVZSector medianRelative
PE12x16x28% below
PE %582632 pts above

VZ is trading at 12x earnings, a 28% discount to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

UCL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.2512% below
20 week MA$0.5056% below
50 week MA$1.0779% below
100 week MA$1.4985% below
200 week MA$1.9088% below

UCL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 88% below its 200-week average.

VZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.13.1% above
20 week MA$46.30.5% above
50 week MA$46.11.1% above
100 week MA$44.25.4% above
200 week MA$41.412% above

VZ has the edge over UCL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UCL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.5$10.4-37%
2021$10.4$3.30-68%
2022$3.30$3.97+20%
2023$3.97$1.75-56%
2024$1.75$2.40+37%
2025$2.40$2.05-15%
2026 YTD$2.05$0.22-89%

UCL has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 89% so far in 2026.

VZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.5$58.8-4.4%
2021$58.8$52.7-10%
2022$52.7$38.4-27%
2023$38.4$37.7-1.8%
2024$37.7$39.9+5.9%
2025$39.9$40.5+1.4%
2026 YTD$40.5$46.6+15%

VZ has the edge over UCL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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