TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 437x earnings, more than twice its usual 175x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

ZGN

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.

There isn't enough reported data to score ZGN yet.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

ZGN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Unavailable
Strong

ZGN's profitability and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397โ€”
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

ZGN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap23x$9.68-29%
Fair26x$10.98-19%
Current41x$13.57โ€”
Expensive54x$22.47+66%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ZGN has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ZGN Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for ZGN to show an outlook.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare TSLA and ZGN's risk to reward.

ZGN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $13.57 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare TSLA and ZGN's risk to reward.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

ZGN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.41Q4 2025: $0.42
Q4 2024: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.41Q4 2025: $0.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025$0.42+27%

ZGN and TSLA do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

ZGN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2020: $680MQ2 2021: $676MQ4 2021: $760MQ2 2022: $810MQ4 2022: $849MQ2 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2020: $680MQ2 2021: $676MQ4 2021: $760MQ2 2022: $810MQ4 2022: $849MQ2 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.1B+7.9%
Q4 2025$1.1B+0.3%
Q2 2025$1B-3.4%
Q4 2024$1.1B-1.5%
Q2 2024$1.1B+6.3%
Q4 2023$1.1B+31%
Q2 2023$1B+24%
Q4 2022$848.6M+12%

ZGN has the edge over TSLA in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: โˆ’$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: โˆ’$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: โˆ’$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: โˆ’$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

ZGN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2020: $131MQ2 2021: $82MQ4 2021: $138MQ2 2022: $14MQ4 2022: $94MQ2 2023: $91MQ4 2023: $152MQ2 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $118MQ2 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $213MQ2 2026: $123M
Q4 2020: $131MQ2 2021: $82MQ4 2021: $138MQ2 2022: $14MQ4 2022: $94MQ2 2023: $91MQ4 2023: $152MQ2 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $118MQ2 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $213MQ2 2026: $123M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$122.7M+73%
Q4 2025$212.6M+80%
Q2 2025$70.7M-12%
Q4 2024$118.3M-22%
Q2 2024$80.6M-11%
Q4 2023$151.6M+61%
Q2 2023$91M+552%
Q4 2022$94.1M-32%

ZGN generated $524M in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over ZGN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ZGN Total Shares

Q4 2020: 222MQ2 2021: 203MQ4 2021: 205MQ2 2022: 239MQ4 2022: 242MQ4 2023: 252MQ2 2024: 253MQ4 2024: 254MQ2 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 261MQ2 2026: 270M
Q4 2020: 222MQ2 2021: 203MQ4 2021: 205MQ2 2022: 239MQ4 2022: 242MQ4 2023: 252MQ2 2024: 253MQ4 2024: 254MQ2 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 261MQ2 2026: 270M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.4%+8.8M shares
1 year+6.7%+17M shares
3 years+12%+27.9M shares

ZGN has 270M diluted shares, up 6.7% from a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

ZGN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low
Q2 20240.4xVery low
Q4 20230.3xVery low

ZGN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

ZGN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.6Neutral
Stochastic54.9Neutral

ZGN's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ZGN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricZGNSector medianRelative
PE41x18x128% above
PE %785523 pts above

ZGN has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.

ZGN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.23% above
20 week MA$13.41.3% above
50 week MA$12.211% above
100 week MA$10.430% above
200 week MA$11.221% above

ZGN has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 21% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to โˆ’65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

ZGN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$12.0$12.00%
2022$12.0$10.0-17%
2023$10.0$11.6+16%
2024$11.6$8.35-28%
2025$8.35$10.5+25%
2026 YTD$10.5$13.6+30%

ZGN has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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