TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 437x earnings, more than twice its usual 175x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

XELB

Xcel Brands, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score XELB yet.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

XELB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Strong

XELB's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397โ€”
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

XELB PE Valuation

XELB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

XELB Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for XELB to show an outlook.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare TSLA and XELB's risk to reward.

XELB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.35 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare TSLA and XELB's risk to reward.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 39% for TSLA versus XELB down 236%.

XELB Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-10.20Q4 2023: $-10.70Q1 2024: $-10.90Q2 2024: $-9.00Q3 2024: $-10.30Q4 2024: $-16.05Q1 2025: $-14.13Q2 2025: $-15.89Q3 2025: $-14.01
Q3 2023: $-10.20Q4 2023: $-10.70Q1 2024: $-10.90Q2 2024: $-9.00Q3 2024: $-10.30Q4 2024: $-16.05Q1 2025: $-14.13Q2 2025: $-15.89Q3 2025: $-14.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2025-$14.01-$3.71
Q2 2025-$15.89-$6.89
Q1 2025-$14.13-$3.23
Q4 2024-$16.05-$5.35
Q3 2024-$10.30-$0.10
Q2 2024-$9.00+$0.70
Q1 2024-$10.90-$7.80
Q4 2023-$10.70-$8.70

XELB lost $14.01 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA has the edge over XELB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XELB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $1M
Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $1M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.1M-15%
Q1 2026$1.1M-14%
Q4 2025$1.2M-3.4%
Q3 2025$1.1M-42%
Q2 2025$1.3M-55%
Q1 2025$1.3M-39%
Q4 2024$1.2M-47%
Q3 2024$1.9M-27%

XELB's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $1M last quarter, down 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: โˆ’$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: โˆ’$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: โˆ’$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: โˆ’$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

XELB has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 16% versus its history, compared with TSLA at down 34%.

XELB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$1MQ4 2023: โˆ’$4MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$432,000Q4 2024: โˆ’$1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$1MQ2 2025: โˆ’$2MQ3 2025: โˆ’$1MQ4 2025: โˆ’$2MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
Q3 2023: โˆ’$1MQ4 2023: โˆ’$4MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$432,000Q4 2024: โˆ’$1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$1MQ2 2025: โˆ’$2MQ3 2025: โˆ’$1MQ4 2025: โˆ’$2MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025-$1.8M-$418K
Q3 2025-$1.4M-$966K
Q4 2024-$1.4M+$2.3M
Q3 2024-$432K+$913K
Q4 2023-$3.7M-$571K
Q3 2023-$1.3M+$1.1M
Q2 2023$1.4M+$9.3M
Q1 2023-$3M-$2.1M

XELB has burned cash in most quarters: โˆ’$7M over the past year, against โˆ’$7M the year before.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over XELB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

XELB Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2MQ4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
Q3 2023: 2MQ4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.3%+256K shares
1 year+159%+3.8M shares
3 years+214%+4.2M shares
5 years+220%+4.2M shares
Available history+225%+4.3M shares

XELB has 6M diluted shares, up 159% from a year ago, despite $190,000 in buybacks over the past year.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

XELB Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2023-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 201911.0xHigh
Q3 20191.9xHealthy

XELB has more cash than debt.

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

XELB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI27.2Oversold
Stochastic11.5Oversold

XELB's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

XELB PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricXELBSector medianRelative
PEN/A18xโ€”

XELB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over XELB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

XELB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.5030% below
20 week MA$0.8860% below
50 week MA$1.3674% below
100 week MA$1.8781% below
200 week MA$5.5794% below

XELB is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 94% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA has the edge over XELB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

XELB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.0$11.4-29%
2021$11.4$12.0+5.3%
2022$12.0$7.40-38%
2023$7.40$12.9+74%
2024$12.9$4.85-62%
2025$4.85$1.37-72%
2026 YTD$1.37$0.35-74%

XELB has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 74% so far in 2026.

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