TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has the edge over WYNN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

WYNN

Wynn Resorts, Limited

36
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential30/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

WYNN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

WYNN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

WYNN's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

WYNN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE420x840x1261x1681x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE420x840x1261x1681x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$42.76-48%
Forward21x$83.02—
Fair24x$82.88-0.2%
Current24x$83.02—
Expensive36x$127+53%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WYNN has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

TSLA has the edge over WYNN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

WYNN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect WYNN's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WYNN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

WYNN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$99.16
Downside-45%$45.78

Calculated from the latest close: $83.02 on Nov 12.

WYNN trails TSLA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

WYNN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.32Q1 2024: $7.64Q2 2024: $7.71Q3 2024: $8.45Q4 2024: $4.35Q1 2025: $3.74Q2 2025: $3.47Q3 2025: $4.61Q4 2025: $3.14Q1 2026: $3.49Q2 2026: $4.17Q3 2026: $3.49Forward: $3.89
Q4 2023: $6.32Q1 2024: $7.64Q2 2024: $7.71Q3 2024: $8.45Q4 2024: $4.35Q1 2025: $3.74Q2 2025: $3.47Q3 2025: $4.61Q4 2025: $3.14Q1 2026: $3.49Q2 2026: $4.17Q3 2026: $3.49Forward: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.89+11%
Q3 2026$3.49-24%
Q2 2026$4.17+20%
Q1 2026$3.49-6.7%
Q4 2025$3.14-28%
Q3 2025$4.61-45%
Q2 2025$3.47-55%
Q1 2025$3.74-51%
Q4 2024$4.35-31%

WYNN has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

WYNN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B-7.9%
Q2 2026$1.9B+6.9%
Q1 2026$1.9B+9.2%
Q4 2025$1.9B+1.5%
Q3 2025$1.8B+8.3%
Q2 2025$1.7B+0.3%
Q1 2025$1.7B-8.7%
Q4 2024$1.8B-0.1%

WYNN's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $1.7B last quarter, down 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

WYNN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $328MQ1 2024: $217MQ2 2024: $259MQ3 2024: $178MQ4 2024: $352MQ1 2025: −$26MQ2 2025: $240MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $307MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $339MQ3 2026: −$105M
Q4 2023: $328MQ1 2024: $217MQ2 2024: $259MQ3 2024: $178MQ4 2024: $352MQ1 2025: −$26MQ2 2025: $240MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $307MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $339MQ3 2026: −$105M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$104.8M-161%
Q2 2026$338.9M+41%
Q1 2026-$25.6M+$548K
Q4 2025$306.8M-13%
Q3 2025$171.8M-3.5%
Q2 2025$239.8M-7.5%
Q1 2025-$26.2M-112%
Q4 2024$351.8M+7.3%

WYNN usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$105M, but it generated $515M over the past year.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

WYNN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 113MQ1 2024: 111MQ2 2024: 111MQ3 2024: 110MQ4 2024: 110MQ1 2025: 106MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 104MQ2 2026: 103MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 113MQ1 2024: 111MQ2 2024: 111MQ3 2024: 110MQ4 2024: 110MQ1 2025: 106MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 104MQ2 2026: 103MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-716K shares
1 year-1.3%-1.4M shares
3 years-9.3%-10.5M shares
5 years-11%-12.4M shares
Available history-4.4%-4.7M shares

WYNN has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over WYNN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WYNN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 5.2xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 5.0xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.3xQ2 2026: 5.1xQ3 2026: 5.4x
Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 5.2xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 5.0xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.3xQ2 2026: 5.1xQ3 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.4xHigh
Q2 20265.1xHigh
Q1 20265.3xHigh
Q4 20255.2xHigh
Q3 20255.0xHigh
Q2 20255.2xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20244.5xHigh

WYNN's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.0 years a year ago.

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

WYNN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.6Neutral
Stochastic25.5Neutral

WYNN's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

WYNN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricWYNNSector medianRelative
PE24x18x32% above
PE %49472 pts above

WYNN has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over WYNN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WYNN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$77.76.9% above
20 week MA$88.66.3% below
50 week MA$100.918% below
100 week MA$100.317% below
200 week MA$98.516% below

WYNN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 16% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA has the edge over WYNN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WYNN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.8$114.4-18%
2021$114.4$88.9-22%
2022$88.9$80.7-9.2%
2023$80.7$91.1+13%
2024$91.1$88.7-2.7%
2025$88.7$124.4+40%
2026 YTD$124.4$83.0-33%

WYNN has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 33% so far in 2026.

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