TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
WING
Wingstop Inc.
WING has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
WING Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
WING's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
WING PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 35x | $159 | — |
| Current | 37x | $159 | — |
| Cheap | 45x | $192 | +20% |
| Fair | 104x | $445 | +180% |
| Expensive | 156x | $670 | +321% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WING has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
WING Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
WING has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
WING Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.59 | +7.1% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.29 | -30% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.24 | -29% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.05 | -32% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.21 | +68% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.13 | +79% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.99 | +87% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.96 | +112% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.70 | +57% |
WING has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
WING Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $185.1M | +5.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $185.6M | +6.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $183.7M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $175.7M | +8.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $175.7M | +8.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $174.3M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $171.1M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $161.8M | +27% |
WING has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 27% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 27% | +5.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 27% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 26% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 22% | -6.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | +2.4 points |
WING has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
WING Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.7M | -19% |
| Q2 2026 | -$11.3M | -$3.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $43.7M | +153% |
| Q4 2025 | $34.5M | +$43.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $61.7M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | -$7.8M | -130% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.3M | -48% |
| Q4 2024 | -$8.6M | -134% |
WING generated $117M in free cash flow over the past year, up 86% from the year before.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
WING Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -115K shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -854K shares |
| 3 years | -9% | -2.7M shares |
| 5 years | -9.4% | -2.8M shares |
| Available history | -8.7% | -2.6M shares |
WING has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.2M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $78.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $61.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $40M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $120.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $250.5M |
WING spent $165M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 60% from the year before.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over WING on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
WING Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.0x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.8x | High |
WING's net debt is about 4.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
WING Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 87.0 | Overbought |
WING's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
WING PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | WING | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37x | 18x | 106% above |
| PE % | 8 | 47 | 39 pts below |
WING has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over WING on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
WING Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $131.5 | 21% above |
| 20 week MA | $129.6 | 23% above |
| 50 week MA | $175.9 | 9.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $228.6 | 30% below |
| 200 week MA | $251.2 | 37% below |
WING has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 37% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA has the edge over WING on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
WING Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $86.2 | $140.8 | +63% |
| 2021 | $140.8 | $173.0 | +23% |
| 2022 | $173.0 | $145.7 | -16% |
| 2023 | $145.7 | $256.6 | +76% |
| 2024 | $256.6 | $285.4 | +11% |
| 2025 | $285.4 | $256.2 | -10% |
| 2026 YTD | $256.2 | $159.3 | -38% |
WING is down 38% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.