TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
WINA
Winmark Corporation
WINA has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
WINA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
WINA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
WINA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 21x | $240 | -12% |
| Current | 24x | $272 | — |
| Fair | 28x | $312 | +15% |
| Expensive | 36x | $403 | +48% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WINA has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
WINA Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for WINA to show an outlook.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
WINA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.20 | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.01 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.09 | -0.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.30 | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.22 | +2.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.23 | +2.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.19 | +2.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.89 | -1.4% |
WINA has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
WINA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $27.9M | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $22M | +7.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.8M | -4.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $21.1M | +7.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.6M | +5.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $20.4M | +1.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $21.9M | +9% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.5M | -2.5% |
WINA has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 57% | -9.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 62% | -1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 59% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 62% | -3.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 66% | -3.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 64% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 62% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 65% | +2.8 points |
WINA has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
WINA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.7M | +4.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.7M | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.9M | -21% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.5M | +0.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.2M | +0.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $9M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $15M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.5M | -2.4% |
WINA has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
WINA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -10.3K shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -7.5K shares |
| 3 years | +0.9% | +31.9K shares |
| 5 years | -2.6% | -97.2K shares |
| Available history | -10% | -415K shares |
WINA has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.1M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $168,800 |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2M |
| Q4 2022 | $838,600 |
| Q3 2022 | $433,700 |
| Q2 2022 | $11.3M |
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over WINA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
WINA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
WINA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
WINA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.8 | Oversold |
WINA's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
WINA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | WINA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 18x | 35% above |
| PE % | 39 | 47 | 8 pts below |
WINA has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over WINA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
WINA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $287.9 | 5.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $324.0 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $379.4 | 28% below |
| 100 week MA | $389.0 | 30% below |
| 200 week MA | $376.0 | 28% below |
WINA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 28% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA has the edge over WINA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
WINA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $196.2 | $184.0 | -6.2% |
| 2021 | $184.0 | $241.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $241.9 | $238.4 | -1.5% |
| 2023 | $238.4 | $417.6 | +75% |
| 2024 | $417.6 | $396.2 | -5.1% |
| 2025 | $396.2 | $410.2 | +3.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $410.2 | $271.7 | -34% |
WINA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 34% so far in 2026.